MFGI (Merchants Financial Group) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $0.00 (As of Sep. 16, 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

MFGI Merchants Financial Group Inc MFGI
49 GF Score
Price $43.80
GF Value $29.34
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Merchants Financial Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Merchants Financial Group MFGI -0.45% 49 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $0.00 as of Sep. 16, 2026. GuruFocus rates MFGI with a GF Score™ of 49/100 and a GF Value™ of $29.34 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,301 Banks companies, Merchants Financial Group ranks worse than 76863.87% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-09-16), Merchants Financial Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $0.00. The stock price of Merchants Financial Group is $43.80. Therefore, Merchants Financial Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Merchants Financial Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

MFGI's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Banks industry.
Industry Median: 0.6
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Merchants Financial Group  (OTCPK:MFGI) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Merchants Financial Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=43.80/
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Merchants Financial Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Merchants Financial Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Merchants Financial Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Merchants Financial Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Merchants Financial Group Annual Data
Trend Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial 15.56 53.50 58.71 67.65 77.67

Merchants Financial Group Quarterly Data
Dec20 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 29.33 30.34 31.27 31.71 32.10

MFGI vs BRBS, MSBC, AVBH: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Merchants Financial Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Merchants Financial Group Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Merchants Financial Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Merchants Financial Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


MFGI
49GF Score
Merchants Financial Group Inc MFGI
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Merchants Financial Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $0.00 mean?
Merchants Financial Group (MFGI) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $0.00 as of Sep. 16, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Merchants Financial Group and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Merchants Financial Group ranks #999999 out of 1301 companies in the Banks industry.
Is Merchants Financial Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Merchants Financial Group's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $0.00. Based on the distribution chart, Merchants Financial Group ranks #999999 out of 1301 companies in the Banks industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Merchants Financial Group has a GF Score™ of 49/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Merchants Financial Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to BRBS and MSBC?
According to the Banks industry distribution chart, Merchants Financial Group ranks #999999 out of 1301 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Merchants Financial Group in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.60. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Banks company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Banks companies is 0.60, based on 1,301 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Merchants Financial Group and its competitors. For the Banks industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.60 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Merchants Financial Group's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $0.00. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Merchants Financial Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Merchants Financial Group (MFGI) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $29.34, compared to a current price of $43.80 — trading 49.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $0.00. Merchants Financial Group's overall GF Score™ is 49/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Merchants Financial Group (MFGI), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $0.00 as of Sep. 16, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Merchants Financial Group (MFGI) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Merchants Financial Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $43.80 is trading 49.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of $29.34. GuruFocus considers Merchants Financial Group to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MFGI:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $0.00
  • GF Value™: $29.34 vs. price of $43.80 (49.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 49/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MFGI stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Merchants Financial Group Business Description

Address 102 E. Third Street, Winona, MN, USA, 55987
Merchants Financial Group Inc is a bank holding company. Through its banking subsidiary, it provides retail, commercial loans, and deposit services to individual as well as business customers. The various products and services offered by the Group include business credit cards, treasury management services, online and mobile banking services, different types of loans, checking accounts, saving accounts, digital wallet, military banking services, mortgage loans, etc. These services are offered through a network of branch offices and a leasing division across Winona, Goodview, Rushford, Lanesboro, St. Charles, Rochester, La Crescent, Caledonia, Spring Grove, and other locations in the USA.
49GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MFGI

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$43.80
Price
$29.34
GF Value