Monro (MNRO) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $48.87 (As of Aug. 21, 2026) — 4787% Above Median

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

MNRO Monro Inc MNRO
65 GF Score
Price $12.40
GF Value $20.82
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Monro Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Monro MNRO +3.72% 65 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $48.87 as of Aug. 21, 2026, which is 4787% above its 10-year median of 1.00. GuruFocus rates MNRO with a GF Score™ of 65/100 and a GF Value™ of $20.82 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 942 Vehicles & Parts companies, Monro ranks better than 94.59% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-08-21), Monro's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $48.87. The stock price of Monro is $12.40. Therefore, Monro's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Monro's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

MNRO' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.24   Med: 1   Max: 1.89
Current: 0.25

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Monro was 1.89. The lowest was 0.24. And the median was 1.00.

MNRO's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
94.59% of 942 companies
in the Vehicles & Parts industry
Industry Median: 0.96 vs MNRO: 0.25

Monro  (NAS:MNRO) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Monro's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=12.40/48.872934190891
=0.25

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Monro Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Monro Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Monro's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Monro Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Monro Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 48.25 52.35 53.22 54.04 50.31

Monro Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 52.57 49.23 49.17 50.31 48.87

MNRO vs CPS, SLDP, MLR: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Auto Parts subindustry, Monro's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Monro Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Monro's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Monro's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


MNRO
65GF Score
Monro Inc MNRO
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Monro Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Monro's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $105.80.

Monro's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*105.80208+582.502*0.8)/30.145
=48.87

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $48.87 mean?
Monro (MNRO) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $48.87 as of Aug. 21, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Monro and its competitors. This is 4787% above median its historical median of 1.00. Over the past decade, Monro's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.24 to 1.89. According to the industry distribution chart, Monro ranks #51 out of 942 companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry, placing it in the top 5.4%.
Is Monro's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Monro's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $48.87 is 4787% above median its 10-year median of 1.00. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.24 to a high of 1.89. The Vehicles & Parts industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.96. Monro's value of $48.87 is 4990.6% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Monro ranks #51 out of 942 companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Monro has a GF Score™ of 65/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Monro's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to CPS and SLDP?
According to the Vehicles & Parts industry distribution chart, Monro ranks #51 out of 942 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Monro in the top 5% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.96. Monro's value of $48.87 is 4990.6% above this benchmark. Historically, Monro's own Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.24 to 1.89 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.00 vs. the industry median of 0.96, Monro has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Vehicles & Parts company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Vehicles & Parts companies is 0.96, based on 942 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Monro's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $48.87 is 4990.6% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Monro and its competitors. For the Vehicles & Parts industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.96 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Monro's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $48.87, which is 4787% above median its own 10-year median of 1.00. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Monro stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Monro (MNRO) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is $20.82, compared to a current price of $12.40 — trading 40.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $48.87, which is 4787% above median its 10-year median of 1.00 and 4990.6% above the Vehicles & Parts industry median of 0.96. Monro's overall GF Score™ is 65/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Monro (MNRO), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $48.87 as of Aug. 21, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Monro (MNRO) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Monro stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $12.40 is trading 40.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of $20.82. GuruFocus considers Monro to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for MNRO:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $48.87 (4787% above median its 10-year median of 1.00)
  • GF Value™: $20.82 vs. price of $12.40 (40.4% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 65/100 with 6 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 4990.6% above the Vehicles & Parts median (#51 of 942)

No single metric tells the full story. See the MNRO stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Monro Business Description

Other Exchanges MR2:Germany
Address 295 Woodcliff Drive, Suite 202, Fairport, NY, USA, 14450
Monro Inc is an operator of retail tire and automotive repair stores in the United States. The company offers replacement tires and tire related services, automotive undercar repair services, and a broad range of routine maintenance services, on passenger cars, light trucks, and vans. It also provides other products and services for brakes; mufflers and exhaust systems; and steering, drive train, suspension, and wheel alignment.
65GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MNRO

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$12.40
Price
$20.82
GF Value