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NEPH (Nephros) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $-1.21 (As of May. 31, 2025)


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What is Nephros Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2025-05-31), Nephros's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-1.21. The stock price of Nephros is $2.69. Therefore, Nephros's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Nephros's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

NEPH's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Medical Devices & Instruments industry.
Industry Median: 1.52
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Nephros Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Nephros's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Nephros Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Nephros Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.80 -3.23 -2.89 -2.32 -1.36

Nephros Quarterly Data
Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.18 -2.94 -1.77 -1.36 -1.21

Competitive Comparison of Nephros's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Medical Instruments & Supplies subindustry, Nephros's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Nephros's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Medical Devices & Instruments Industry

For the Medical Devices & Instruments industry and Healthcare sector, Nephros's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Nephros's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


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Nephros Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Nephros's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-2.14.

Nephros's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar25)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-2.13536+9.291*0.8)/10.616
=-1.21

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Nephros  (NAS:NEPH) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Nephros's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=2.69/-1.2148246028598
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Nephros Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Nephros's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Nephros Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
380 Lackawanna Place, South Orange, NJ, USA, 07079
Nephros Inc is a commercial-stage company that develops and sells high-performance water solutions to the medical and commercial markets. In medical markets, it sells water filtration products and waterborne pathogen detection products. In commercial markets, the company manufactures and sells water filters that improve the taste and odor of water and reduce biofilm, bacteria, and scale build-up in downstream equipment. The company's subsidiary is engaged in the development of its second-generation hemodiafiltration system and other products focused on improving therapies for patients with renal disease. The company generates almost all of its revenue from product sales and a small amount from royalty revenue and other revenues.
Executives
Arthur H Amron director C/O WEXFORD CAPITAL LP, 777 WEST PUTNAM AVENUE, FIRST FLOOR, GREENWICH CT 06830
Banks Robert R. Jr. director, officer: President and CEO C/O 380 LACKAWANNA PLACE, SOUTH ORANGE NJ 07079
Judy Krandel officer: Chief Financial Officer 320 W. 37TH STREET, 13TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10018
Joseph Michael Harris director C/O 380 LACKAWANNA PLACE, SOUTH ORANGE NJ 07079
Wesley S. Lobo officer: Chief Marketing Officer C/O 380 LACKAWANNA PLACE, SOUTH ORANGE NJ 07079
Tom Gwydir director C/O 380 LACKAWANNA PLACE, SOUTH ORANGE NJ 07079
Andrew Astor officer: Chief Financial Officer 380 LACKAWANNA PLACE, SOUTH ORANGE NJ 07079
Charles E Davidson director, 10 percent owner C/O WEXFORD CAPITAL LP, 777 SOUTH FLAGLER DRIVE, SUITE 602, WEST PALM BEACH FL 33401
Wexford Capital Lp director, 10 percent owner 777 WEST PUTNAM AVENUE, 1ST FLOOR, GREENWICH CT 06830
Joseph Jacobs director, 10 percent owner C/O WEXFORD CAPITAL LP, 777 SOUTH FLAGLER DRIVE, SUITE 602 EAST, WEST PALM BEACH FL 33401
Wexford Gp Llc director, 10 percent owner C/O WEXFORD CAPITAL LP, 777 SOUTH FLAGLER DRIVE, SUITE 602 EAST, WEST PALM BEACH CT 33401
Oliver J. Spandow director C/O 380 LACKAWANNA PLACE, SOUTH ORANGE NJ 07079
Daniel S. D'agostino officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O 380 LACKAWANNA PLACE, SOUTH ORANGE NJ 07079
Daron Evans director, officer: President and CEO C/O NEPHROS, INC., 380 LACKAWANNA PLACE, SOUTH ORANGE NJ 07079
Alisa Lask director C/O 380 LACKAWANNA PLACE, SOUTH ORANGE NJ 07079