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Vista Group International (NZSE:VGL) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : NZ$0.40 (As of May. 04, 2025)


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What is Vista Group International Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2025-05-04), Vista Group International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is NZ$0.40. The stock price of Vista Group International is NZ$3.63. Therefore, Vista Group International's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 9.1.

The historical rank and industry rank for Vista Group International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

NZSE:VGL' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.3   Med: 13.21   Max: 59.75
Current: 9.08

During the past 11 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Vista Group International was 59.75. The lowest was 3.30. And the median was 13.21.

NZSE:VGL's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
90.84% of 1255 companies
in the Software industry
Industry Median: 1.62 vs NZSE:VGL: 9.08

Vista Group International Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Vista Group International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Vista Group International Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Vista Group International Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.09 0.04 -0.01 -0.06 0.40

Vista Group International Semi-Annual Data
Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.01 - -0.06 - 0.40

Competitive Comparison of Vista Group International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Software - Application subindustry, Vista Group International's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Vista Group International's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Vista Group International's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Vista Group International's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


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Vista Group International Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Vista Group International's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = NZ$-2.06.

Vista Group International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-2.0604285714286+143.8*0.8)/237.300
=0.40

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Vista Group International  (NZSE:VGL) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Vista Group International's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=3.63/0.40212387510168
=9.03

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Vista Group International Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Vista Group International Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
90 Wellesley Street West, Shed 12, City Works Depot, Auckland, NZL, 1010
Vista Group International Ltd provides software and technology solutions across the global film industry sectors of distribution, exhibition, and the end consumer, moviegoers. The principal activity is the sale, support, and associated development of software for the film industry. The company operates in the vertical cinema/film market in the following reportable segments namely the Cinema segment and Film segment. The company has offices in New Zealand, with additional offices located in Sydney, Cape Town, London, Amsterdam, Beijing, Shanghai, Kuala Lumpur, Los Angeles, and Mexico City.

Vista Group International Headlines

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