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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2026-08-29), Poste Italiane SpA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $14.71. The stock price of Poste Italiane SpA is $23.45. Therefore, Poste Italiane SpA's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.6.
The historical rank and industry rank for Poste Italiane SpA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
PITAF'
s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.49 Med: 0.79 Max: 1.64
Current: 1.59
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Poste Italiane SpA was 1.64. The lowest was 0.49. And the median was 0.79.
PITAF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than 72.58% of 423
companies
in the Conglomerates industry
Industry Median: 0.88
vs PITAF: 1.59
Poste Italiane SpA (OTCPK:PITAF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Poste Italiane SpA's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
23.45
/
19.611017373002
=
1.20
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Poste Italiane SpA Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
Poste Italiane SpA Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
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The historical data trend for Poste Italiane SpA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Poste Italiane SpA Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart
PITAF vs MMM, HON: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison
For the Conglomerates subindustry, Poste Italiane SpA's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Poste Italiane SpA Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Conglomerates Industry
For the Conglomerates industry and Industrials sector, Poste Italiane SpA's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Poste Italiane SpA's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Poste Italiane SpA Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $14.71 mean?
Poste Italiane SpA (PITAF) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $14.71 as of Aug. 29, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Poste Italiane SpA and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Poste Italiane SpA ranks #307 out of 423 companies in the Conglomerates industry, placing it in the top 72.6%.
Is Poste Italiane SpA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Poste Italiane SpA's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $14.71. The Conglomerates industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.88. Poste Italiane SpA's value of $14.71 is 1571.6% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Poste Italiane SpA ranks #307 out of 423 companies in the Conglomerates industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Poste Italiane SpA has a GF Score™ of 60/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Poste Italiane SpA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to MMM and HON?
According to the Conglomerates industry distribution chart, Poste Italiane SpA ranks #307 out of 423 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Poste Italiane SpA in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.88. Poste Italiane SpA's value of $14.71 is 1571.6% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Conglomerates company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Conglomerates companies is 0.88, based on 423 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Poste Italiane SpA's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $14.71 is 1571.6% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Poste Italiane SpA and its competitors. For the Conglomerates industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.88 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Poste Italiane SpA's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $14.71. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Poste Italiane SpA stock overvalued right now?
Poste Italiane SpA (PITAF) has a current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $14.71. The stock's GF Value™ is $12.67, compared to a current price of $23.45 — trading 85.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $14.71 and 1571.6% above the Conglomerates industry median of 0.88. Poste Italiane SpA's overall GF Score™ is 60/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Poste Italiane SpA (PITAF), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $14.71 as of Aug. 29, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Poste Italiane SpA (PITAF) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Poste Italiane SpA stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $23.45 is trading 85.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of $12.67.
Key valuation signals for PITAF:
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $14.71
GF Value™: $12.67 vs. price of $23.45 (85.1% above fair value)
Industry Position: 1571.6% above the Conglomerates median (#307 of 423)
No single metric tells the full story. See the PITAF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Poste Italiane SpA is an Italian diversified financial-services company. The company's operating segments are Mail, parcels, and distribution; Postepay services; Financial services; and Insurance services. The Postepay services segment generates maximum revenue. It encompasses payment management and e-money services, also carried out through the LIS point-of-sale network, as well as mobile and fixed-line telephony services and electricity and gas marketing. Geographically, the company has a presence in Italy, but also elsewhere in Europe, the Americas, and Asia.
60GF Score
Get the complete analysis for PITAF
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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