PITAF (Poste Italiane SpA) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 12.98% (As of Jun. 2026) — 35% Below Median

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PITAF Poste Italiane SpA PITAF
60 GF Score
Price $23.45
GF Value $12.78
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Poste Italiane SpA Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Poste Italiane SpA PITAF 60 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 12.98% as of Jun. 2026, which is 35% below its 10-year median of 20.01. GuruFocus rates PITAF with a GF Score™ of 60/100 and a GF Value™ of $12.78. The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 425 Conglomerates companies, Poste Italiane SpA ranks worse than 51.29% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Poste Italiane SpA's forward rate of return for was 12.98%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Poste Italiane SpA's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

PITAF' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 12.91   Med: 20.01   Max: 30.18
Current: 13.16

During the past 13 years, Poste Italiane SpA's highest Forward Rate of Return was 30.18. The lowest was 12.91. And the median was 20.01.

PITAF's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
51.29% of 425 companies
in the Conglomerates industry
Industry Median: 13.52 vs PITAF: 13.16

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Poste Italiane SpA  (OTCPK:PITAF) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Poste Italiane SpA Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


Poste Italiane SpA Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Poste Italiane SpA's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Poste Italiane SpA Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Poste Italiane SpA Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 22.62 19.29 21.08 17.72 13.78

Poste Italiane SpA Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 16.04 15.54 13.78 15.26 12.98

PITAF vs MMM, HON: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Conglomerates subindustry, Poste Italiane SpA's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Poste Italiane SpA Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Conglomerates Industry

For the Conglomerates industry and Industrials sector, Poste Italiane SpA's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Poste Italiane SpA's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


PITAF
60GF Score
Poste Italiane SpA PITAF
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Poste Italiane SpA Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Poste Italiane SpA's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2026 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=1.21752381/23.45+0.0882
=14.01 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 12.98% mean?
Poste Italiane SpA (PITAF) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 12.98% as of Jun. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Poste Italiane SpA and its competitors. This is 35% below median its historical median of 20.01. Over the past decade, Poste Italiane SpA's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 12.91 to 30.18. According to the industry distribution chart, Poste Italiane SpA ranks #218 out of 425 companies in the Conglomerates industry, placing it in the top 51.3%.
Is Poste Italiane SpA's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Poste Italiane SpA's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 12.98% is 35% below median its 10-year median of 20.01. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 12.91 to a high of 30.18. The Conglomerates industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 13.52. Poste Italiane SpA's value of 12.98% is 4% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Poste Italiane SpA ranks #218 out of 425 companies in the Conglomerates industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Poste Italiane SpA has a GF Score™ of 60/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Poste Italiane SpA's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to MMM and HON?
According to the Conglomerates industry distribution chart, Poste Italiane SpA ranks #218 out of 425 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places Poste Italiane SpA in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 13.52. Poste Italiane SpA's value of 12.98% is 4% below this benchmark. Historically, Poste Italiane SpA's own Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 12.91 to 30.18 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 20.01 vs. the industry median of 13.52, Poste Italiane SpA has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Conglomerates company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Conglomerates companies is 13.52, based on 425 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Poste Italiane SpA's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 12.98% is 4% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Poste Italiane SpA and its competitors. For the Conglomerates industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 13.52 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Poste Italiane SpA's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 12.98%, which is 35% below median its own 10-year median of 20.01. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Poste Italiane SpA stock overvalued right now?
Poste Italiane SpA (PITAF) has a current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 12.98%. The stock's GF Value™ is $12.78, compared to a current price of $23.45 — trading 83.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 12.98%, which is 35% below median its 10-year median of 20.01 and 4% below the Conglomerates industry median of 13.52. Poste Italiane SpA's overall GF Score™ is 60/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Poste Italiane SpA (PITAF), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 12.98% as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Poste Italiane SpA (PITAF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Poste Italiane SpA stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $23.45 is trading 83.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of $12.78.

Key valuation signals for PITAF:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 12.98% (35% below median its 10-year median of 20.01)
  • GF Value™: $12.78 vs. price of $23.45 (83.5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 60/100 with 6 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 4% below the Conglomerates median (#218 of 425)

No single metric tells the full story. See the PITAF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Poste Italiane SpA Business Description

Address Viale Europa, 190, Rome, ITA, 00144
Poste Italiane SpA is an Italian diversified financial-services company. The company's operating segments are Mail, parcels, and distribution; Postepay services; Financial services; and Insurance services. The Postepay services segment generates maximum revenue. It encompasses payment management and e-money services, also carried out through the LIS point-of-sale network, as well as mobile and fixed-line telephony services and electricity and gas marketing. Geographically, the company has a presence in Italy, but also elsewhere in Europe, the Americas, and Asia.
60GF Score

Get the complete analysis for PITAF

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$23.45
Price
$12.78
GF Value