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Post HoldingsPOST -1.60%66 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $177.11 as of Aug. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates POST with a GF Score™ of 66/100 and a GF Value™ of $138.96 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,319 Consumer Packaged Goods companies, Post Holdings ranks better than 82.56% on this metric.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2026-08-26), Post Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $177.11. The stock price of Post Holdings is $81.06. Therefore, Post Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.5.
The historical rank and industry rank for Post Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
POST'
s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.46 Med: 0.82 Max: 1.02
Current: 0.46
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Post Holdings was 1.02. The lowest was 0.46. And the median was 0.82.
POST's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than 82.56% of 1319
companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 1.01
vs POST: 0.46
Post Holdings (NYSE:POST) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Post Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
81.06
/
177.11328893776
=
0.46
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Post Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
Post Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
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The historical data trend for Post Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Post Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart
POST vs MZTI, FRPT, CENT: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison
For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Post Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Post Holdings Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry
For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Post Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Post Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Post Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $177.11 mean?
Post Holdings (POST) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $177.11 as of Aug. 26, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Post Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Post Holdings ranks #230 out of 1319 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, placing it in the top 17.4%.
Is Post Holdings' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Post Holdings' current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $177.11. The Consumer Packaged Goods industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.01. Post Holdings' value of $177.11 is 17435.6% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Post Holdings ranks #230 out of 1319 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Post Holdings has a GF Score™ of 66/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Post Holdings' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to MZTI and FRPT?
According to the Consumer Packaged Goods industry distribution chart, Post Holdings ranks #230 out of 1319 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Post Holdings in the top 17% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.01. Post Holdings' value of $177.11 is 17435.6% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Consumer Packaged Goods companies is 1.01, based on 1,319 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Post Holdings's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $177.11 is 17435.6% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Post Holdings and its competitors. For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.01 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Post Holdings's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $177.11. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Post Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Post Holdings (POST) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is $138.96, compared to a current price of $81.06 — trading 41.7% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $177.11 and 17435.6% above the Consumer Packaged Goods industry median of 1.01. Post Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 66/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Post Holdings (POST), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $177.11 as of Aug. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Post Holdings (POST) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Post Holdings stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of $81.06 is trading 41.7% below its estimated GF Value™ of $138.96.
GuruFocus considers Post Holdings to be Possible Value Trap.
Key valuation signals for POST:
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $177.11
GF Value™: $138.96 vs. price of $81.06 (41.7% below fair value)
Industry Position: 17435.6% above the Consumer Packaged Goods median (#230 of 1319)
No single metric tells the full story. See the POST stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Post Holdings Inc. is a consumer packaged goods holding company with products sold through grocery, club, and drug stores, mass merchandisers, foodservice, food ingredient, and eCommerce. It operates through four reportable segments: Post Consumer Brands, focused on North American ready-to-eat cereal and granola, pet food, and nut butters; Weetabix, focused on U.K. ready-to-eat cereal, muesli, and protein-based shakes; Foodservice, focused on egg and potato products; and Refrigerated Retail, focused on side dish, egg, cheese, and sausage products. Products are sold across channels, including retailers, wholesalers, convenience stores, pet supply retailers, drug store customers, military and national restaurant chains, with revenues largely generated in the U.S.
66GF Score
Get the complete analysis for POST
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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