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Post HoldingsPOST -12.70%67 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00% as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus rates POST with a GF Score™ of 67/100 and a GF Value™ of $134.47 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,398 Consumer Packaged Goods companies, Post Holdings ranks better than 65.02% on this metric.
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Post Holdings's forward rate of return for was 0.00%.
The historical rank and industry rank for Post Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
POST'
s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 11.07 Med: 18.27 Max: 29.74
Current: 14.3
During the past 13 years, Post Holdings's highest Forward Rate of Return was 29.74. The lowest was 11.07. And the median was 18.27.
POST's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than 65.02% of 1398
companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 8.585
vs POST: 14.30
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
Post Holdings (NYSE:POST) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
Post Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
Post Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Post Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Post Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
POST vs MZTI, FRPT, CENT: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison
For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Post Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Post Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry
For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Post Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Post Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
Post Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
Post Holdings's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2026 is
Forward Rate of Return
=
Normalized Free Cash Flow
/
Price
+
5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=
6.94685714
/
0
+
0.07
=
0 %
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 0.00% mean?
Post Holdings (POST) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 0.00% as of Jun. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Post Holdings and its competitors. Over the past decade, Post Holdings' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 11.07 to 29.74. According to the industry distribution chart, Post Holdings ranks #489 out of 1398 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, placing it in the top 35%.
Is Post Holdings' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Post Holdings' current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00%. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 11.07 to a high of 29.74. Based on the distribution chart, Post Holdings ranks #489 out of 1398 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Post Holdings has a GF Score™ of 67/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Post Holdings' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to MZTI and FRPT?
According to the Consumer Packaged Goods industry distribution chart, Post Holdings ranks #489 out of 1398 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This puts Post Holdings in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 8.59. Historically, Post Holdings' own Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 11.07 to 29.74 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Consumer Packaged Goods companies is 8.59, based on 1,398 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Post Holdings and its competitors. For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 8.59 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Post Holdings's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Post Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Post Holdings (POST) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is $134.47, compared to a current price of $78.77 — trading 41.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00%. Post Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 67/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Post Holdings (POST), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00% as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Post Holdings (POST) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Post Holdings stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of $78.77 is trading 41.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of $134.47.
GuruFocus considers Post Holdings to be Possible Value Trap.
Key valuation signals for POST:
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 0.00%
GF Value™: $134.47 vs. price of $78.77 (41.4% below fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the POST stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Post Holdings Inc. is a consumer packaged goods holding company with products sold through grocery, club, and drug stores, mass merchandisers, foodservice, food ingredient, and eCommerce. It operates through four reportable segments: Post Consumer Brands, focused on North American ready-to-eat cereal and granola, pet food, and nut butters; Weetabix, focused on U.K. ready-to-eat cereal, muesli, and protein-based shakes; Foodservice, focused on egg and potato products; and Refrigerated Retail, focused on side dish, egg, cheese, and sausage products. Products are sold across channels, including retailers, wholesalers, convenience stores, pet supply retailers, drug store customers, military and national restaurant chains, with revenues largely generated in the U.S.
67GF Score
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