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Post HoldingsPOST -12.79%67 Beneish M-Score is -2.69 as of Aug. 07, 2026. GuruFocus rates POST with a GF Score™ of 67/100 and a GF Value™ of $134.47 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,853 Consumer Packaged Goods companies, Post Holdings ranks better than 64.49% on this metric.
The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Good Sign:
Beneish M-Score -2.69 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
The historical rank and industry rank for Post Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:
POST'
s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.83 Med: -2.58 Max: -2.1
Current: -2.69
During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Post Holdings was -2.10. The lowest was -2.83. And the median was -2.58.
The historical data trend for Post Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
POST vs MZTI, FRPT, CENT: Beneish M-Score Comparison
For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Post Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Post Holdings Beneish M-Score vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry
For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Post Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Post Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Post Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
M
=
-4.84
+
0.92 * DSRI
+
0.528 * GMI
+
0.404 * AQI
+
0.892 * SGI
+
0.115 * DEPI
=
-4.84
+
0.92 * 0.9482
+
0.528 * 1.013
+
0.404 * 1.0307
+
0.892 * 1.062
+
0.115 * 0.9631
-
0.172 * SGAI
+
4.679 * TATA
-
0.327 * LVGI
-
0.172 * 0.9847
+
4.679 * -0.052456
-
0.327 * 1.083
=
-2.73
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
DEPI
=
(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1))
/
(Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=
(502.3 / (502.3 + 2441.2))
/
(570.4 / (570.4 + 2648.8))
=
0.170647
/
0.177187
=
0.9631
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
TATA
=
(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t
-
CashFlowsfromOperations_t)
/
TotalAssets_t
=
(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t
-
CashFlowsfromOperations_t)
/
TotalAssets_t
=
(293.1 - -25.3
-
992.6)
/
12852.7
=
-0.052456
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Post Holdings has a M-score of -2.73 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
Post Holdings (POST) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.69 as of Aug. 07, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Post Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Post Holdings ranks #658 out of 1853 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, placing it in the top 35.5%.
Is Post Holdings' Beneish M-Score too high?
Post Holdings' current Beneish M-Score is -2.69. Based on the distribution chart, Post Holdings ranks #658 out of 1853 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Post Holdings has a GF Score™ of 67/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Post Holdings' Beneish M-Score compare to MZTI and FRPT?
According to the Consumer Packaged Goods industry distribution chart, Post Holdings ranks #658 out of 1853 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Post Holdings in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Consumer Packaged Goods industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Post Holdings and its competitors. Post Holdings's current Beneish M-Score is -2.69. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Post Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Post Holdings (POST) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is $134.47, compared to a current price of $78.69 — trading 41.5% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.69. Post Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 67/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Post Holdings (POST), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.69 as of Aug. 07, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Post Holdings (POST) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Post Holdings stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of $78.69 is trading 41.5% below its estimated GF Value™ of $134.47.
GuruFocus considers Post Holdings to be Possible Value Trap.
Key valuation signals for POST:
Beneish M-Score: -2.69
GF Value™: $134.47 vs. price of $78.69 (41.5% below fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the POST stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Post Holdings Inc. is a consumer packaged goods holding company with products sold through grocery, club, and drug stores, mass merchandisers, foodservice, food ingredient, and eCommerce. It operates through four reportable segments: Post Consumer Brands, focused on North American ready-to-eat cereal and granola, pet food, and nut butters; Weetabix, focused on U.K. ready-to-eat cereal, muesli, and protein-based shakes; Foodservice, focused on egg and potato products; and Refrigerated Retail, focused on side dish, egg, cheese, and sausage products. Products are sold across channels, including retailers, wholesalers, convenience stores, pet supply retailers, drug store customers, military and national restaurant chains, with revenues largely generated in the U.S.
67GF Score
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