GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Travel & Leisure » H World Group Ltd (STU:CL4) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

H World Group (STU:CL4) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : €1.48 (As of Dec. 15, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2020. Start your Free Trial

What is H World Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-12-15), H World Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €1.48. The stock price of H World Group is €3.12. Therefore, H World Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.1.

The historical rank and industry rank for H World Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

STU:CL4' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.11   Med: 3.45   Max: 6.24
Current: 2.11

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of H World Group was 6.24. The lowest was 2.11. And the median was 3.45.

STU:CL4's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
73.78% of 572 companies
in the Travel & Leisure industry
Industry Median: 1.17 vs STU:CL4: 2.11

H World Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for H World Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

H World Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

H World Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 0.80 1.11 0.72 1.03

H World Group Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.03 1.03 1.19 1.27 1.45

Competitive Comparison of H World Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Lodging subindustry, H World Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


H World Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, H World Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where H World Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



H World Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get H World Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = €257.54.

H World Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Sep24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(13.783508514862*257.53632+1544.79*0.8)/3257.590
=1.47

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


H World Group  (STU:CL4) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

H World Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=3.12/1.4690572047453
=2.12

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


H World Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of H World Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


H World Group Business Description

Address
No. 1299 Fenghua Road, Jiading District, Shanghai, CHN, 201803
H World Group Ltd is a multi-brand hotel group in China with international operations. It operates in the leased, manachised, and franchised models. The company has two operating segments; legacy Huazhu and legacy DH. Its brand and product offering includes Economy hotel brands: HanTing Hotel, Ni Hao Hotel, Hi Inn, Elan Hotel, Zleep Hotels, and Ibis Hotel, Midscale hotel brands: JI Hotel, Orange Hotel, Starway Hotel and Ibis Styles Hotel, Upper midscale hotel brands: Crystal Orange Hotel, IntercityHotel, Manxin Hotel, Mercure Hotel, Madison Hotel, Novotel Hotel, CitiGO Hotel and MAXX by Steigenberger, Upscale hotel brands: Joya Hotel, Blossom House, Steigenberger Hotels & Resorts, Jaz in the City, and Grand Mercure; and Luxury hotel brand: Steigenberger Icon and Song Hotels.

H World Group Headlines

No Headlines