Tosei (TOETF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $6.42 (As of Aug. 27, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

TOETF Tosei Corp TOETF
85 GF Score
Price $9.15
GF Value $10.83
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 7 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Tosei Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Tosei TOETF 85 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $6.42 as of Aug. 27, 2026. GuruFocus rates TOETF with a GF Score™ of 85/100 and a GF Value™ of $10.83 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,272 Real Estate companies, Tosei ranks worse than 78.54% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-08-27), Tosei's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $6.42. The stock price of Tosei is $9.15. Therefore, Tosei's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for Tosei's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

TOETF' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.54   Med: 1.05   Max: 3.31
Current: 1.43

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Tosei was 3.31. The lowest was 0.54. And the median was 1.05.

TOETF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
78.54% of 1272 companies
in the Real Estate industry
Industry Median: 0.63 vs TOETF: 1.43

Tosei  (OTCPK:TOETF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Tosei's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=9.15/8.4614901458708
=1.08

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Tosei Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Tosei Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Tosei's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Tosei Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Tosei Annual Data
Trend Nov16 Nov17 Nov18 Nov19 Nov20 Nov21 Nov22 Nov23 Nov24 Nov25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 9.70 6.31 5.95 3.53 5.87

Tosei Quarterly Data
Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24 May24 Aug24 Nov24 Feb25 May25 Aug25 Nov25 Feb26 May26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.70 6.16 5.87 8.63 8.42

Tosei Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Competitor Comparison

For the Real Estate - Diversified subindustry, Tosei's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tosei Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Tosei's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tosei's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


TOETF
85GF Score
Tosei Corp TOETF
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Tosei Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Tosei's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $28.35.

Tosei's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (May26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*28.3456+703.068*0.8)/98.365
=8.46

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $6.42 mean?
Tosei (TOETF) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $6.42 as of Aug. 27, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Tosei and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Tosei ranks #999 out of 1272 companies in the Real Estate industry, placing it in the top 78.5%.
Is Tosei's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Tosei's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $6.42. The Real Estate industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.63. Tosei's value of $6.42 is 919% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Tosei ranks #999 out of 1272 companies in the Real Estate industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Tosei has a GF Score™ of 85/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Tosei's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to competitors?
According to the Real Estate industry distribution chart, Tosei ranks #999 out of 1272 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Tosei in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.63. Tosei's value of $6.42 is 919% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Real Estate company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Real Estate companies is 0.63, based on 1,272 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Tosei's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $6.42 is 919% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Tosei and its competitors. For the Real Estate industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.63 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Tosei's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $6.42. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Tosei stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Tosei (TOETF) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $10.83, compared to a current price of $9.15 — trading 15.5% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $6.42 and 919% above the Real Estate industry median of 0.63. Tosei's overall GF Score™ is 85/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Tosei (TOETF), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $6.42 as of Aug. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Tosei (TOETF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Tosei stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $9.15 is trading 15.5% below its estimated GF Value™ of $10.83. GuruFocus considers Tosei to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for TOETF:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $6.42
  • GF Value™: $10.83 vs. price of $9.15 (15.5% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 85/100 with 7 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 919% above the Real Estate median (#999 of 1272)

No single metric tells the full story. See the TOETF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Tosei Business Description

Other Exchanges 8923:Japan
Address 5-4 Shibaura 4-chome, Toranomon Tosei Building, Minato-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 105-0001
Tosei Corp is a diversified real estate company based in Japan. It is engaged in selling condominiums, detached houses, rental condominiums, and office buildings to individual customers and investors; providing asset management services for real estate funds, leasing properties; operating a real estate revitalization business; and operating hotels, among other activities. Along with its subsidiaries, the company operates in the following reportable segments: Real Estate Revitalization, Real Estate Development, Real Estate Leasing, Real Estate Fund and Consulting, Real Estate Management, and Hotel. Maximum revenue is generated from its Real Estate Revitalization Business, which revitalizes and sells properties with deteriorated asset value.
85GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TOETF

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$9.15
Price
$10.83
GF Value