Tosei (TOETF) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 16.65% (As of May. 2026) — Near Median

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

TOETF Tosei Corp TOETF
88 GF Score
Price $9.15
GF Value $10.88
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Tosei Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Tosei TOETF 88 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 16.65% as of May. 2026, which is 4% below its 10-year median of 17.29. GuruFocus rates TOETF with a GF Score™ of 88/100 and a GF Value™ of $10.88 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,304 Real Estate companies, Tosei ranks better than 66.64% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Tosei's forward rate of return for was 16.65%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Tosei's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

TOETF' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 8.09   Med: 17.29   Max: 23.66
Current: 16.61

During the past 13 years, Tosei's highest Forward Rate of Return was 23.66. The lowest was 8.09. And the median was 17.29.

TOETF's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
66.64% of 1304 companies
in the Real Estate industry
Industry Median: 6.665 vs TOETF: 16.61

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Tosei  (OTCPK:TOETF) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Tosei Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


Tosei Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Tosei's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Tosei Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Tosei Annual Data
Trend Nov16 Nov17 Nov18 Nov19 Nov20 Nov21 Nov22 Nov23 Nov24 Nov25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 9.89 9.27 15.40 19.00 19.01

Tosei Quarterly Data
Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24 May24 Aug24 Nov24 Feb25 May25 Aug25 Nov25 Feb26 May26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 21.67 20.46 19.01 20.40 16.65

Tosei Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Competitor Comparison

For the Real Estate - Diversified subindustry, Tosei's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tosei Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Tosei's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tosei's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


TOETF
88GF Score
Tosei Corp TOETF
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Tosei Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Tosei's Forward Rate of Return of May. 2026 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.05333333/10.55+0.0721
=7.72 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 16.65% mean?
Tosei (TOETF) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 16.65% as of May. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Tosei and its competitors. This is near median its historical median of 17.29. Over the past decade, Tosei's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 8.09 to 23.66. According to the industry distribution chart, Tosei ranks #435 out of 1304 companies in the Real Estate industry, placing it in the top 33.4%.
Is Tosei's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Tosei's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 16.65% is near median its 10-year median of 17.29. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 8.09 to a high of 23.66. The Real Estate industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.67. Tosei's value of 16.65% is 149.8% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Tosei ranks #435 out of 1304 companies in the Real Estate industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Tosei has a GF Score™ of 88/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Tosei's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to competitors?
According to the Real Estate industry distribution chart, Tosei ranks #435 out of 1304 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This puts Tosei in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.67. Tosei's value of 16.65% is 149.8% above this benchmark. Historically, Tosei's own Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 8.09 to 23.66 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 17.29 vs. the industry median of 6.67, Tosei has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Real Estate company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Real Estate companies is 6.67, based on 1,304 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Tosei's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 16.65% is 149.8% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Tosei and its competitors. For the Real Estate industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.67 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Tosei's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 16.65%, which is near median its own 10-year median of 17.29. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Tosei stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Tosei (TOETF) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $10.88, compared to a current price of $9.15 — trading 15.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 16.65%, which is near median its 10-year median of 17.29 and 149.8% above the Real Estate industry median of 6.67. Tosei's overall GF Score™ is 88/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Tosei (TOETF), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 16.65% as of May. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Tosei (TOETF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Tosei stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $9.15 is trading 15.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of $10.88. GuruFocus considers Tosei to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for TOETF:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 16.65% (near median its 10-year median of 17.29)
  • GF Value™: $10.88 vs. price of $9.15 (15.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 88/100 with 5 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 149.8% above the Real Estate median (#435 of 1304)

No single metric tells the full story. See the TOETF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Tosei Business Description

Other Exchanges 8923:Japan
Address 5-4 Shibaura 4-chome, Toranomon Tosei Building, Minato-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 105-0001
Tosei Corp is a diversified real estate company based in Japan. It is engaged in selling condominiums, detached houses, rental condominiums, and office buildings to individual customers and investors; providing asset management services for real estate funds, leasing properties; operating a real estate revitalization business; and operating hotels, among other activities. Along with its subsidiaries, the company operates in the following reportable segments: Real Estate Revitalization, Real Estate Development, Real Estate Leasing, Real Estate Fund and Consulting, Real Estate Management, and Hotel. Maximum revenue is generated from its Real Estate Revitalization Business, which revitalizes and sells properties with deteriorated asset value.
88GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TOETF

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$9.15
Price
$10.88
GF Value