First Phosphate (XCNQ:PHOS) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : C$-0.27 (As of Jun. 21, 2025)

First Phosphate Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

First Phosphate Annual Data
	Trend	Feb09	Feb10	Feb11	Feb12	Feb19	Feb20	Feb21	Feb22	Feb23	Feb24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF		Get a 7-Day Free Trial					-	-0.09	-9.08	-0.15	-0.12

First Phosphate Quarterly Data
	Feb20	May20	Aug20	Nov20	Feb21	May21	Aug21	Nov21	Feb22	May22	Aug22	Nov22	Feb23	May23	Aug23	Nov23	Feb24	May24	Aug24	Nov24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF	Get a 7-Day Free Trial															-0.20	-0.12	-0.25	-0.26	-0.27

Competitive Comparison of First Phosphate's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Other Industrial Metals & Mining subindustry, First Phosphate's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

First Phosphate's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, First Phosphate's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where First Phosphate's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.

First Phosphate Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get First Phosphate's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = C$-2.61.

First Phosphate's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

First Phosphate  (XCNQ:PHOS) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

First Phosphate's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

First Phosphate Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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First Phosphate Business Description