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First Phosphate (XCNQ:PHOS) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : C$-0.27 (As of Jun. 21, 2025)


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What is First Phosphate Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2025-06-21), First Phosphate's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is C$-0.27. The stock price of First Phosphate is C$0.31. Therefore, First Phosphate's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for First Phosphate's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

XCNQ:PHOS's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Metals & Mining industry.
Industry Median: 1.53
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

First Phosphate Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for First Phosphate's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

First Phosphate Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

First Phosphate Annual Data
Trend Feb09 Feb10 Feb11 Feb12 Feb19 Feb20 Feb21 Feb22 Feb23 Feb24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -0.09 -9.08 -0.15 -0.12

First Phosphate Quarterly Data
Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24 May24 Aug24 Nov24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.20 -0.12 -0.25 -0.26 -0.27

Competitive Comparison of First Phosphate's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Other Industrial Metals & Mining subindustry, First Phosphate's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


First Phosphate's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, First Phosphate's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where First Phosphate's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


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First Phosphate Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get First Phosphate's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = C$-2.61.

First Phosphate's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Nov24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-2.60896+5.065*0.8)/76.157
=-0.27

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


First Phosphate  (XCNQ:PHOS) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

First Phosphate's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=0.31/-0.27293901413932
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


First Phosphate Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of First Phosphate's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


First Phosphate Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1055 West Georgia Street, Suite 1500, Royal Centre, P.O. Box 11117, Vancouver, BC, CAN, V6E 4N7
First Phosphate Corp owns and is developing igneous rock phosphate mineral properties in the Saguenay Region of Quebec for the production of phosphoric acid for the production of cathode active material (CAM) for use in lithium iron phosphate (LPF) batteries for the electric vehicle industry.
Executives
John Passalacqua 10% Security Holder, Director, Senior Officer
Peter Nicholson Director
Laurence Wayne Zeifman Director
Glen Eagle Resources Inc. 10% Security Holder

First Phosphate Headlines