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Aryzta AGXSWX:ARYN +0.61%47 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF52.99 as of Aug. 29, 2026. GuruFocus rates XSWX:ARYN with a GF Score™ of 47/100 and a GF Value™ of CHF64.42 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,318 Consumer Packaged Goods companies, Aryzta AG ranks better than 62.67% on this metric.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2026-08-29), Aryzta AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF52.99. The stock price of Aryzta AG is CHF41.00. Therefore, Aryzta AG's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.8.
The historical rank and industry rank for Aryzta AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
XSWX:ARYN'
s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.19 Med: 0.64 Max: 1.39
Current: 0.77
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Aryzta AG was 1.39. The lowest was 0.19. And the median was 0.64.
XSWX:ARYN's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than 62.67% of 1318
companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 1.01
vs XSWX:ARYN: 0.77
Aryzta AG (XSWX:ARYN) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Aryzta AG's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
41.00
/
52.986417318885
=
0.77
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Aryzta AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
Aryzta AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Aryzta AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
XSWX:ARYN vs KHC, GIS, HRL: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison
For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Aryzta AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Aryzta AG Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry
For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Aryzta AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Aryzta AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Aryzta AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of CHF52.99 mean?
Aryzta AG (XSWX:ARYN) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of CHF52.99 as of Aug. 29, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Aryzta AG and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Aryzta AG ranks #492 out of 1318 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, placing it in the top 37.3%.
Is Aryzta AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Aryzta AG's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF52.99. Based on the distribution chart, Aryzta AG ranks #492 out of 1318 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Aryzta AG has a GF Score™ of 47/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Aryzta AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to KHC and GIS?
According to the Consumer Packaged Goods industry distribution chart, Aryzta AG ranks #492 out of 1318 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This puts Aryzta AG in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.01. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Consumer Packaged Goods companies is 1.01, based on 1,318 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Aryzta AG and its competitors. For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.01 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Aryzta AG's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF52.99. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Aryzta AG stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Aryzta AG (XSWX:ARYN) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is CHF64.42, compared to a current price of CHF41.00 — trading 36.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF52.99. Aryzta AG's overall GF Score™ is 47/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Aryzta AG (XSWX:ARYN), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF52.99 as of Aug. 29, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Aryzta AG (XSWX:ARYN) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Aryzta AG stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of CHF41.00 is trading 36.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of CHF64.42.
GuruFocus considers Aryzta AG to be Possible Value Trap.
Key valuation signals for XSWX:ARYN:
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: CHF52.99
GF Value™: CHF64.42 vs. price of CHF41.00 (36.4% below fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the XSWX:ARYN stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Aryzta AG is an international specialist food company. Geographically, it has a presence in Switzerland, Germany, France, and other countries. By product segment, Bread Rolls & Artisan Loaves is the substantial segment, followed by Sweet Baked & Morning Goods, and Savoury & Other. The company has two operating and reporting segments, ARYZTA Europe and ARYZTA Rest of World, which comprise the continuing operations of the Group. The company'sdaily products are developed as per the Nutri-Score nutritional rating system, helping consumers by reducing intake of fat, sugar and salt while increasing protein, fibre and unsaturated fats.
47GF Score
Get the complete analysis for XSWX:ARYN
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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