Aryzta AGXSWX:ARYN +4.61%60 Altman Z-Score is 1.19 as of Jun. 25, 2026, which is 9% above its 10-year median of 1.09. GuruFocus rates XSWX:ARYN with a GF Score™ of 60/100 and a GF Value™ of CHF66.22 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,933 Consumer Packaged Goods companies, Aryzta AG ranks worse than 81.89% on this metric.
The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.
Warning Sign:
Altman Z-score of 1.17 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.
Aryzta AG has a Altman Z-Score of 1.19, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.
The zones of discrimination were as such:
When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.
The historical rank and industry rank for Aryzta AG's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:
XSWX:ARYN'
s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.24 Med: 1.09 Max: 1.6
Current: 1.17
During the past 13 years, Aryzta AG's highest Altman Z-Score was 1.60. The lowest was 0.24. And the median was 1.09.
Aryzta AG (XSWX:ARYN) Altman Z-Score Explanation
X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.
X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.
X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.
X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.
X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.
Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.
Aryzta AG Altman Z-Score Related Terms
Aryzta AG Altman Z-Score Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Aryzta AG's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
XSWX:ARYN vs KHC, GIS, JBS: Altman Z-Score Comparison
For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Aryzta AG's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Aryzta AG Altman Z-Score vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry
For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Aryzta AG's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Aryzta AG's Altman Z-Score falls into.
Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.
Aryzta AG's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:
Z
=
1.2
*
X1
+
1.4
*
X2
+
3.3
*
X3
+
0.6
*
X4
+
1.0
*
X5
=
1.2
*
-0.1269
+
1.4
*
-0.5979
+
3.3
*
0.0993
+
0.6
*
1.1288
+
1.0
*
1.1767
=
1.19
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.
Aryzta AG (XSWX:ARYN) has a Altman Z-Score of 1.19 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Aryzta AG and its competitors. This is near median its historical median of 1.09. Over the past decade, Aryzta AG's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.24 to 1.60. According to the industry distribution chart, Aryzta AG ranks #1583 out of 1933 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, placing it in the top 81.9%.
Is Aryzta AG's Altman Z-Score too high?
Aryzta AG's current Altman Z-Score of 1.19 is near median its 10-year median of 1.09. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.24 to a high of 1.60. The Consumer Packaged Goods industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.84. Aryzta AG's value of 1.19 is 58.1% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Aryzta AG ranks #1583 out of 1933 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Aryzta AG has a GF Score™ of 60/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Aryzta AG's Altman Z-Score compare to KHC and GIS?
According to the Consumer Packaged Goods industry distribution chart, Aryzta AG ranks #1583 out of 1933 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Aryzta AG in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.84. Aryzta AG's value of 1.19 is 58.1% below this benchmark. Historically, Aryzta AG's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.24 to 1.60 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.09 vs. the industry median of 2.84, Aryzta AG has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Consumer Packaged Goods companies is 2.84, based on 1,933 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Aryzta AG's current Altman Z-Score of 1.19 is 58.1% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Aryzta AG and its competitors. For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 2.84 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Aryzta AG's current Altman Z-Score is 1.19, which is near median its own 10-year median of 1.09. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Aryzta AG stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Aryzta AG (XSWX:ARYN) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is CHF66.22, compared to a current price of CHF56.70 — trading 14.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 1.19, which is near median its 10-year median of 1.09 and 58.1% below the Consumer Packaged Goods industry median of 2.84. Aryzta AG's overall GF Score™ is 60/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Aryzta AG (XSWX:ARYN), the current Altman Z-Score is 1.19 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Aryzta AG (XSWX:ARYN) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Aryzta AG stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of CHF56.70 is trading 14.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of CHF66.22.
GuruFocus considers Aryzta AG to be Modestly Undervalued.
Key valuation signals for XSWX:ARYN:
Altman Z-Score: 1.19 (near median its 10-year median of 1.09)
GF Value™: CHF66.22 vs. price of CHF56.70 (14.4% below fair value)
Industry Position: 58.1% below the Consumer Packaged Goods median (#1583 of 1933)
No single metric tells the full story. See the XSWX:ARYN stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Aryzta AG is an international specialist food company. Geographically, it has a presence in Switzerland, Germany, France, and other countries. By product segment, Bread Rolls & Artisan Loaves is the substantial segment, followed by Sweet Baked & Morning Goods, and Savoury & Other. The company has two operating and reporting segments, ARYZTA Europe and ARYZTA Rest of World, which comprise the continuing operations of the Group. The company'sdaily products are developed as per the Nutri-Score nutritional rating system, helping consumers by reducing intake of fat, sugar and salt while increasing protein, fibre and unsaturated fats.
60GF Score
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