Cornerstone Building Brands (NYSE:CNR) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

: $68.90 (As of Today)

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As of today (2023-10-01), Cornerstone Building Brands's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $68.90.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Cornerstone Building Brands's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for Cornerstone Building Brands is 64.21%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Cornerstone Building Brands's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

CNR's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is not ranked ^*
in the Construction industry.
Industry Median: 0.76
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) only.

Cornerstone Building Brands Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Cornerstone Building Brands's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Cornerstone Building Brands Annual Data

Trend

Oct12

Oct13

Oct14

Oct15

Oct16

Oct17

Oct18

Dec19

Dec20

Dec21

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

Cornerstone Building Brands Quarterly Data
	Apr17	Jul17	Oct17	Jan18	Apr18	Jul18	Oct18	Mar19	Jun19	Sep19	Dec19	Mar20	Jun20	Sep20	Dec20	Mar21	Jun21	Sep21	Dec21	Mar22
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)																-	-	-	-	-

Cornerstone Building Brands Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. We used the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer, then added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Cornerstone Building Brands's average EPS without NRI Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $5.970.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Cornerstone Building Brands's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)	=	EPS without NRI	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

EPS without NRI

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

EPS without NRI

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

5.970

11.5406

68.90

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
	=	(68.9	-	24.66)	/	68.9
	=	64.21 %

Cornerstone Building Brands (NYSE:CNR) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

Cornerstone Building Brands Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Cornerstone Building Brands's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Cornerstone Building Brands (NYSE:CNR) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Construction » Cornerstone Building Brands Inc (NYSE:CNR) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

5020 Weston Parkway, Suite 400, Cary, NC, USA, 27513

Website

https://www.cornerstonebuildingbrands.com

Cornerstone Building Brands Inc constructs and sells building materials for the commercial, residential, and repair industries in North America. The company operates in three segments: commercial, which provides metal products and coil coating services for commercial construction; siding, which offers vinyl and steel siding, aluminum coil and gutters, roofing accessories, moldings, window and door trim, rain removal systems, vents, fences, and railings; and windows, which includes vinyl, aluminum, and wooden windows as well as steel, wood, and fiberglass doors. All three segments contribute sizably to total revenue.

Executives

Rose Lee	director, officer: PRESIDENT & CEO	C/O CROWN HOLDINGS, INC., 770 TOWNSHIP LINE ROAD, YARDLEY PA 19067
Judith A Reinsdorf	director	C. R. BARD, INC., 730 CENTRAL AVENUE, MURRAY HILL NJ 07974
Alena Brenner	officer: EVP, GC and Corp. Sec.	5020 WESTON PARKWAY, SUITE 400 CARY NC 27513
Jeffrey S. Lee	officer: EVP, CFO	5020 WESTON PARKWAY, SUITE 400 CARY NC 27513
Katy Theroux	officer: Executive VP, Chief HR Officer	10943 N. SAM HOUSTON PARKWAY W. HOUSTON TX 77056
Daniel C. Janki	director	5020 WESTON PARKWAY, SUITE 400, CARY NC 27513
Timothy J. Obrien	director	C/O NCI BUILDING SYSTEMS, INC. 10943 NORTH SAM HOUSTON PARKWAY WEST HOUSTON TX 77064
George L. Ball	director	10943 N. SAM HOUSTON PARKWAY W., HOUSTON TX 77064
William E Jackson	director	ONE NEENAH CENTER, 4TH FLOOR P.O. BOX 669 NEENAH WI 54957
Kathleen J Affeldt	director
John J Holland	director	26602 W. GREENTREE, OLATHE KS 66061
James Keppler	officer: EVP, OPERATIONS	5020 WESTON PARKWAY SUITE 400 CARY NC 27513
James Wilbert W Jr	director	16100 SOUTH LATHROP AVENUE, HARVEY IL 60426
Wayne Irmiter	officer: SVP, CAO	5020 WESTON PARKWAY CAY NC 27513
Atrium Window Holdings, Llc	10 percent owner	C/O GOLDEN GATE PRIVATE EQUITY, INC. 1 EMBARCADERO CENTER SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111