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Cirrus Logic Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

: $60.19 (As of Today)
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As of today (2021-12-05), Cirrus Logic's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $60.19.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Cirrus Logic's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for Cirrus Logic is -30.82%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Cirrus Logic's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Earnings Based) Ratio of Cirrus Logic was 1.97. The lowest was 0.65. And the median was 1.23.


Cirrus Logic Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Cirrus Logic's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Cirrus Logic Annual Data
Trend Mar12 Mar13 Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 53.12 33.20 55.11 52.11 -

Cirrus Logic Quarterly Data
Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 50.93 66.27 - - -

Cirrus Logic Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 8%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. We used the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer, then added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5.10%
Growth Rate in the growth stage = average earnings growth rate in the past 10 years. If it is higher than 20%, we use 20%. If it is less than 5%, we use 5% instead. => Average Earnings Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 5.10% which is less than 20% and higher than 5% => Growth Rate: 5.10%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $4.050.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the Earnings Per Share without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Cirrus Logic's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=Earnings per Share (Diluted)*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.051)/(1+0.08) = 0.97314814814815
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.08) = 0.96296296296296

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=Earnings per Share (Diluted)*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Earnings per Share (Diluted)*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=4.050*14.8617
=60.19

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(60.19-78.74)/60.19
=-30.82 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Cirrus Logic  (NAS:CRUS) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Cirrus Logic Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Cirrus Logic's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Cirrus Logic Business Description

Cirrus Logic logo
Industry
Technology » Semiconductors NAICS : 334413 SIC : 3674
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
800 West 6th Street, Austin, TX, USA, 78701
Cirrus Logic Inc is a provider of integrated circuits for audio and voice signal processing applications. The firm's products are organized into two streams: portable audio products, and non-portable audio and other products. These products include analog and mixed-signal components targeting mobile devices, smart homes, and applications in the automotive, energy, and industrial markets. Roughly half of the firm's revenue is generated in China, with the rest coming from the United States, Europe, South Korea, Japan, Taiwan, and countries across the world.
Executives
Baumgartner Jeffrey W officer: VP of R&D 800 W. 6TH STREET AUSTIN TX 78701
Lego Catherine P director 3787 WOODSIDE ROAD WOODSIDE CA 94062
Carter John C director 800 WEST 6TH STREET AUSTIN TX 78701
Forsyth John officer: President 800 W. 6TH STREET AUSTIN TX 78701
Hanford Deirdre director 700 EAST MIDDLEFIELD ROAD MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 9403
Tupman David J. director 1028 CHURCH ST. SAN FRANCISCO CA 94114
Schuele Alan R director C/O SEVIN ROSEN FUNDS 13455 NOEL RD #1670 DALLAS TX 75240
Dehne Timothy R director C/O NATIONAL INSTRUMENTS 11500 MOPAC BLDG B AUSTIN TX 78759
Davern Alexander M director C/O NATIONAL INSTRUMENTS 11500 MOPAC BLDG C AUSTIN TX 78759
Anderson Scott Arnold officer: Senior VP of Supply Chain 1303 E ALGONQUIN RD SCHAUMBURG IL 60196
Rhode Jason P director, officer: CEO 2901 VIA FORTUNA AUSTIN TX 78746
Fluke Bradley J officer: VP & GM, MEMS Division 400 W CESAR CHAVEZ AUSTIN TX 78701
Case Thurman K officer: VP & CFO C/O CIRUS LOGIC INC 2901 VIA FORTUNA AUSTIN TX 78746
Benson Jodee officer: VP & Chief Culture Office 2901 VIA FORTUNA AUSTIN TX 78746
Thomas Scott officer: SVP General Counsel & Corp C/O CIRRUS LOGIC INC 800 WEST 6TH STREET AUSTIN TX 78701

Cirrus Logic Headlines

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