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Nutanix (NAS:NTNX) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

: $-26.59 (As of Today)
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As of today (2023-02-01), Nutanix's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $-26.59.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Nutanix's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for Nutanix is N/A.

The historical rank and industry rank for Nutanix's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:


Nutanix Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Nutanix's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Nutanix Annual Data
Trend Jul13 Jul14 Jul15 Jul16 Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20 Jul21 Jul22
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Nutanix Quarterly Data
Jan18 Apr18 Jul18 Oct18 Jan19 Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Nutanix Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 10%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. We used the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer, then added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
Growth Rate in the growth stage = average earnings growth rate in the past 10 years. If it is higher than 20%, we use 20%. If it is less than 5%, we use 5% instead. => For companies with Average Earnings Growth Rate in the past 10 years less than 5%, GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $-2.130.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Nutanix's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.1) = 0.95454545454545
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.1) = 0.94545454545455

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=EPS without NRI*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=-2.130*12.485
=-26.59

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(-26.59-28.06)/-26.59
=N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Nutanix  (NAS:NTNX) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Nutanix Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Nutanix's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Nutanix (NAS:NTNX) Business Description

Nutanix logo
Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Nutanix Inc (NAS:NTNX) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1740 Technology Drive, Suite 150, San Jose, CA, USA, 95110
Nutanix Inc provides native hybrid cloud capabilities for businesses. The company offers Enterprise Cloud Platform to businesses for various uses such as web-scale engineering and consumer-grade design, virtualization, and storage into a resilient, and software-defined solution. Geographically, it derives a majority of revenue from the United States and also has a presence in Europe, the Middle East, Asia Pacific, Africa, and other regions.
Executives
Rukmini Sivaraman officer: Chief Financial Officer 1740 TECHNOLOGY DR., SUITE 150, SAN JOSE CA 95110
Teresa Gayle Sheppard director C/O ENVISTA HOLDINGS CORPORATION, 200 S. KRAEMER BLVD., BLDG. E, BREA CA 92821
Susan L Bostrom director
Craig Conway director SALESFORCE TOWER, 415 MISSION STREET, 3RD FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Brian Mark Stevens director 25 HOOPER HILL RD., NEW BOSTON NH 03070
Virginia Gambale director C/O JETBLUE AIRWAYS CORP., 27-01 QUEENS PLAZA NORTH, LONG ISLAND CITY NY 11101
Rajiv Ramaswami director, officer: President and CEO 5300 CALIFORNIA AVENUE, IRVINE CA 92617
Kaddaras Christopher Nicholas Jr officer: Chief Revenue Officer C/O NUTANIX, INC., 1740 TECHNOLOGY DR., STE 150, SAN JOSE CA 95110
Tyler Wall officer: Chief Legal Officer CHORDIANT SOFTWARE, INC., 20400 STEVENS CREEK BLVD., STE. 400, CUPERTINO CA 94014
Aaron Boynton officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O NUTANIX, INC., 1740 TECHNOLOGY AVE., SUITE 150, SAN JOSE CA 95110
Tarkan Maner officer: Chief Commercial Officer C/O NUTANIX, INC., 1740 TECHNOLOGY AVE., SUITE 150, SAN JOSE CA 95110
David Humphrey director C/O BAIN CAPITAL PARTNERS, LLC, JOHN HANCOCK TOWER, 200 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
De Groen Max Pieter director 200 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Sohaib Abbasi director 100 EAST DAVIE STREET, RALEIGH NC 27601
Louis J Attanasio officer: Chief Revenue Officer 1740 TECHNOLOGY AVE., SUITE 150, SAN JOSE CA 95110

Nutanix (NAS:NTNX) Headlines

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