>
Switch to:

TE Connectivity Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

: $100.07 (As of Today)
View and export this data going back to 2007. Start your Free Trial

As of today (2022-01-22), TE Connectivity's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $100.07.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

TE Connectivity's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for TE Connectivity is -50.79%.

The historical rank and industry rank for TE Connectivity's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:


TE Connectivity Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for TE Connectivity's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

TE Connectivity Annual Data
Trend Sep12 Sep13 Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

TE Connectivity Quarterly Data
Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

TE Connectivity Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 8%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. We used the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer, then added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
Growth Rate in the growth stage = average earnings growth rate in the past 10 years. If it is higher than 20%, we use 20%. If it is less than 5%, we use 5% instead. => For companies with Average Earnings Growth Rate in the past 10 years less than 5%, GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $6.780.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the Earnings Per Share without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

TE Connectivity's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=Earnings per Share (Diluted)*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.08) = 0.97222222222222
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.08) = 0.96296296296296

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=Earnings per Share (Diluted)*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Earnings per Share (Diluted)*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=6.780*14.7595
=100.07

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(100.07-150.90)/100.07
=-50.79 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


TE Connectivity  (NYSE:TEL) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


TE Connectivity Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of TE Connectivity's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


TE Connectivity Business Description

TE Connectivity logo
Industry
Technology » Hardware NAICS : 334419 SIC : 3679
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Muhlenstrasse 26, Schaffhausen, CHE, CH-8200
TE Connectivity is the largest electrical connector supplier in the world, supplying interconnect and sensor solutions to the transportation, industrial, and communications markets. With operations in 150 countries and over 500,000 stock-keeping units, TE Connectivity has a broad portfolio that forms the electrical architecture of its end customers' cutting-edge innovations.
Executives
Stucki Aaron Kyle officer: Pres. Communications Solutions 1050 WESTLAKES DRIVE BERWYN PA 19312
Jenkins John S officer: EVP & General Counsel 1050 WESTLAKES DRIVE BERWYN PA 19312
Mitts Heath A officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer 1925 WEST FIELD COURT SUITE 200 LAKE FOREST IL 60045
Rock Kevin N officer: President, Industrial Solution 1050 WESTLAKES DRIVE BERWYN PA 19312
Calastri Mario officer: SVP & Treasurer C/O TYCO ELECTRONICS LTD. 1050 WESTLAKES DRIVE BERWYN PA 19312
Resch Eric officer: Sr VP & Chief Tax Officer C/O TYCO ELECTRONICS LTD. 1050 WESTLAKES DRIVE BERWYN PA 19312
Phelan Daniel J director C/O TYCO ELECTRONICS LTD. 1050 WESTLAKES DRIVE BERWYN PA 19312
Dugle Lynn A director 4803 STONECROFT BOULEVARD CHANTILLY VA 20151
Willoughby Dawn C director 1221 BROADWAY OAKLAND CA 94612
Merkt Steven T officer: President, Transportation Sol. 1050 WESTLAKES DRIVE BERWYN PA 19312
Lynch Thomas J director 1303 E ALGONQUIN RD SCHAUMBURG IL 60196
Curtin Terrence R director, officer: Chief Exec. Officer & Director C/O TYCO ELECTRONICS LTD. 1050 WESTLAKES DRIVE BERWYN PA 19312
Kroeger Shadrak W officer: Pres., Communications Solution 1050 WESTLAKES DRIVE BERWYN PA 19312
Murphy Tim officer: SVP & CHRO 1050 WESTLAKES DRIVE BERWYN PA 19312
Ott Robert J officer: Sr VP & Corporate Controller C/O TYCO ELECTRONICS LTD 1050 WESTLAKES DRIVE BERWYN PA 19312

TE Connectivity Headlines

Get WordPress Plugins for easy affiliate links on Stock Tickers and Guru Names | Earn affiliate commissions by embedding GuruFocus Charts
GuruFocus Affiliate Program: Earn up to $400 per referral. ( Learn More)