GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » USA » NAS » Qualcomm Inc (NAS:QCOM) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
Switch to:

Qualcomm (NAS:QCOM) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

: $142.45 (As of Today)
View and export this data going back to 1991. Start your Free Trial

As of today (2022-12-01), Qualcomm's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $142.45.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Qualcomm's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for Qualcomm is 11.20%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Qualcomm's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Earnings Based) Ratio of Qualcomm was 3.40. The lowest was 0.48. And the median was 1.11.


Qualcomm (NAS:QCOM) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Qualcomm's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Qualcomm Annual Data
Trend Sep13 Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - 116.16 -

Qualcomm Quarterly Data
Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 116.16 128.85 132.40 152.99 -

Qualcomm Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 10%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. We used the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer, then added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
Growth Rate in the growth stage = average earnings growth rate in the past 10 years. If it is higher than 20%, we use 20%. If it is less than 5%, we use 5% instead. => For companies with Average Earnings Growth Rate in the past 10 years less than 5%, GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $11.410.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the Earnings Per Share without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Qualcomm's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=Earnings per Share (Diluted)*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.1) = 0.95454545454545
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.1) = 0.94545454545455

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=Earnings per Share (Diluted)*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Earnings per Share (Diluted)*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=11.410*12.485
=142.45

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(142.45-126.49)/142.45
=11.20 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Qualcomm  (NAS:QCOM) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Qualcomm Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Qualcomm's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Qualcomm (NAS:QCOM) Business Description

Qualcomm logo
Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Semiconductors » Qualcomm Inc (NAS:QCOM) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
Address
5775 Morehouse Drive, San Diego, CA, USA, 92121-1714
Qualcomm develops and licenses wireless technology and designs chips for smartphones. The company's key patents revolve around CDMA and OFDMA technologies, which are standards in wireless communications that are the backbone of all 3G and 4G networks. The firm is a leader in 5G network technology as well. Qualcomm's IP is licensed by virtually all wireless device makers. The firm is also the world's largest wireless chip vendor, supplying nearly every premier handset maker with leading-edge processors. Qualcomm also sells RF-front end modules into smartphones and chips into automotive and Internet of Things markets.
Executives
Cathey James J officer: Chief Commercial Officer 5775 MOREHOUSE DRIVE SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Chaplin Ann C officer: General Counsel&Corp Secretary 5775 MOREHOUSE DRIVE SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Acevedo Sylvia director 5775 MOREHOUSE DRIVE SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Johnson Gregory N director C/O INTUIT INC. 2700 COAST AVENUE MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Tricoire Jean-pascal director 5775 MOREHOUSE DRIVE SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Miller Jamie S director GENERAL ELECTRIC COMPANY 5 NECCO STREET BOSTON MA 02210
Ace Heather S officer: EVP, Human Resources 3721 VALLEY CENTRE DR SUITE 500 SAN DIEGO CA 92130
Palkhiwala Akash J. officer: SVP & Interim CFO 5775 MOREHOUSE DRIVE SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Wise David officer: Interim CFO 5775 MOREHOUSE DRIVE SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Polek Erin L officer: SVP Corporate Controller & CAO 5775 MOREHOUSE DRIVE SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Anstice Martin B director 4650 CUSHING PARKWAY FREMONT CA 94538
Rosenfeld Irene B director 999 VANDERBILT BEACH ROAD SUITE 601 NAPLES FL 34108
Mollenkopf Steven M director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 5775 MOREHOUSE DRIVE SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Smit Neil director C/O AMERICA ONLINE LATIN AMERICA, INC. 6600 N. ANDREWS AVE., SUITE 400 FT. LAUDERDALE FL 33309
Fields Mark director FORD MOTOR COMPANY ONE AMERICAN ROAD DEARBORN MI 48126

Qualcomm (NAS:QCOM) Headlines

From GuruFocus

Get WordPress Plugins for easy affiliate links on Stock Tickers and Guru Names | Earn affiliate commissions by embedding GuruFocus Charts
GuruFocus Affiliate Program: Earn up to $400 per referral. ( Learn More)
premium membership