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Delaware Investments Natl Muniome Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

: $6.44 (As of Today)
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As of today (2022-05-22), Delaware Investments Natl Muniome's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $6.44.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Delaware Investments Natl Muniome's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Delaware Investments Natl Muniome is -71.89%.

The industry rank for Delaware Investments Natl Muniome's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:


Delaware Investments Natl Muniome Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Delaware Investments Natl Muniome's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Delaware Investments Natl Muniome Annual Data
Trend Mar12 Mar13 Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Delaware Investments Natl Muniome Semi-Annual Data
Mar12 Sep12 Mar13 Sep13 Mar14 Sep14 Mar15 Sep15 Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Delaware Investments Natl Muniome Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 9%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. We used the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer, then added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
Growth Rate in the growth stage = average free cash flow growth rate in the past 10 years. If it is higher than 20%, we use 20%. If it is less than 5%, we use 5% instead. => For companies with Average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 10 years less than 5%, GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $0.475.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Delaware Investments Natl Muniome's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.09) = 0.96330275229358
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.09) = 0.95412844036697

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.475*13.5514
=6.44

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(6.44-11.07)/6.44
=-71.89 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Delaware Investments Natl Muniome  (AMEX:VFL) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Delaware Investments Natl Muniome Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Delaware Investments Natl Muniome's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Delaware Investments Natl Muniome Business Description

Delaware Investments Natl Muniome logo
Industry
Financial Services » Asset Management NAICS : 523920 SIC : 6799
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
610 Market Street, Philadelphia, PA, USA, 19106
Delaware Investments Natl Muni Income is a closed-end investment fund. The Fund seeks to provide current income exempt from regular federal income tax consistent with the preservation of capital.
Executives
Wells Fargo Bank N A 10 percent owner 101 NORTH PHILLIPS AVENUE SIOUX FALLS SD 57104
Toronto Dominion Holdings Usa Inc 10 percent owner 40 WALL STREET NEW YORK NY 10003
Toronto Dominion Bank 10 percent owner 66 WELLINGTON STREET WEST 15TH FLOOR, TD TOWER TORONTO, ONTARIO A6 M5K 1A2
Toronto Dominion Investments, Inc. 10 percent owner 909 FANIN SUITE 1950 HOUSTON TX 77010
Td Group Us Holdings Llc 10 percent owner 251 LITTLE FALLS DRIVE WILMINGTON DE 19808
Van Roden Jake officer: SVP/Portfolio Manager 2005 MARKET STREET PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Wood Christianna director 330 OLD Y ROAD GOLDEN CO 80401
Abernathy Jerome director 2005 MARKET STREET PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Lytle Shawn director, officer: Trustee C/O DELAWARE INVESTMENTS 2005 MARKET STREET PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Borowiec Ann Dully director, officer: Board Member C/O DELAWARE INVESTMENTS 2005 MARKET STREET PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Chow Joseph W director STATE STREET CORP 225 FRANKLIN ST BOSTON MA 02110
Whitford Thomas K director 249 FIFTH AVE P1-POPP-30-1 PITTSBURGH PA 15222
Gizzi Gregory A. officer: VP/Portfolio Manager C/O DELAWARE INVESTMENTS 2005 MARKET STREET PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Sevilla-sacasa Frances Aldrich director 3 GREENWAY PLAZA SUITE 1300 HOUSTON TX 77046
Zecher Richard director 2 SUTTON PLACE SOUTH, 19A NEW YORK NY 10022

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