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First Capital Bancorp (First Capital Bancorp) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $0.00 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is First Capital Bancorp Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-04-26), First Capital Bancorp's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $0.00.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

First Capital Bancorp's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for First Capital Bancorp is N/A%.

The industry rank for First Capital Bancorp's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

FCVA's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Banks industry.
Industry Median: 0.44
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

First Capital Bancorp Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for First Capital Bancorp's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

First Capital Bancorp Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

First Capital Bancorp Annual Data
Trend Dec04 Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
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First Capital Bancorp Quarterly Data
Dec10 Mar11 Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of First Capital Bancorp's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, First Capital Bancorp's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


First Capital Bancorp's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, First Capital Bancorp's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where First Capital Bancorp's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



First Capital Bancorp Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.69%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> First Capital Bancorp's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $0.000.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

First Capital Bancorp's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.000*11.5406
=0.00

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(0-5.56)/0
=N/A %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


First Capital Bancorp  (NAS:FCVA) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


First Capital Bancorp Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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First Capital Bancorp (First Capital Bancorp) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
First Capital Bancorp Inc was incorporated under Virginia law in 2006. The Company is a bank holding company and conducts its operations through its wholly-owned subsidiary, First Capital Bank. The Bank is a community oriented financial institution that offers a range of banking and related financial services to small and medium-sized businesses, professionals and individuals located in its market area, which consists of the Richmond, Virginia metropolitan area, with a current emphasis on western Henrico County, Chesterfield County, the City of Richmond, the Town of Ashland, and the surrounding vicinity. It offers a range of deposit services including checking accounts, NOW accounts, savings accounts and other time deposits of various types, ranging from daily money market accounts to longer-term certificates of deposit. The transaction accounts and time certificates are tailored to its market area at rates competitive to those offered in the area. In addition, it offers certain retirement account services, such as Individual Retirement Accounts, or IRAs. The Bank also offers a range of short-to-medium term commercial and consumer loans. Commercial loans include both secured and unsecured loans for working capital, including inventory and receivables; business expansion, including acquisition of real estate and improvements; and purchase of equipment and machinery; Consumer loans include secured and unsecured loans for financing automobiles, home improvements, education and personal investments. It originates fixed and floating-rate mortgage and real estate construction and acquisition loans. Other services it offers include safe deposit boxes, certain cash management services, traveler's checks, direct deposit of payroll and social security checks and automatic drafts for various accounts, selected on-line banking services and a small and medium-sized businesses courier service. The Company competes with other commercial banks, savings and loan associations, credit unions, mortgage banking firms, consumer finance companies, securities brokerage firms, insurance companies, money market mutual funds and other financial institutions operating in the Richmond metropolitan area and elsewhere. As a bank holding company, the Company is subject to regulation under the Bank Holding Company Act of 1956, as amended, and the examination and reporting requirements of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.
Executives
Kenneth R Lehman director, 10 percent owner 122 N GORDON ROAD, FT LAUDERDALE FL 33301
John M Presley director, officer: Managing Director 770 NORTH WATER STREET, ATTENTION: CORPORATE SECRETARIES DEPT., MILWAUKEE WI 53202
Gary L. Armstrong officer: Executive Vice President P.O.BOX 1869 KILMARNOCK VA 22482
Katherine K Wagner officer: Senior Vice President 2231 CASTLEBRIDGE ROAD, MIDLOTHIAN VA 23113
Jay M Weinberg director C/O MARKEL CORPORATION, 4521 HIGHWOODS PARKWAY, GLEN ALLEN VA 23060

First Capital Bancorp (First Capital Bancorp) Headlines

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