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Dun & Bradstreet Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

: $8.31 (As of Today)
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As of today (2021-12-04), Dun & Bradstreet Holdings's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $8.31.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Dun & Bradstreet Holdings's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Dun & Bradstreet Holdings is -126.47%.


Dun & Bradstreet Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Dun & Bradstreet Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Dun & Bradstreet Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
- - - -

Dun & Bradstreet Holdings Quarterly Data
Dec17 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Dun & Bradstreet Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 8%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. We used the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer, then added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
Growth Rate in the growth stage = average free cash flow growth rate in the past 10 years. If it is higher than 20%, we use 20%. If it is less than 5%, we use 5% instead. => For companies with Average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 10 years less than 5%, GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $0.563.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Dun & Bradstreet Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.08) = 0.97222222222222
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.08) = 0.96296296296296

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.563*14.7595
=8.31

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(8.31-18.82)/8.31
=-126.47 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Dun & Bradstreet Holdings  (NYSE:DNB) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Dun & Bradstreet Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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Dun & Bradstreet Holdings Business Description

Dun & Bradstreet Holdings logo
Industry
Technology » Software NAICS : 541519 SIC : 7374
Comparable Companies
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
101 JFK Parkway, Short Hills, NJ, USA, 07078
Dun & Bradstreet Holdings Inc is one of the leading providers of business decisioning data and analytics. The company provides commercial credit decisioning, which helps businesses to make informed decisions when considering extending business loans and trade credit. Also, the company offers solutions to firms looking to analyze supplier relationships and more effectively collect outstanding receivables. Its operating segment includes North America and International. The company generates maximum revenue from the North American region. Other services provided by the company include digital marketing, sales acceleration, and risk management among others.
Executives
Quella James director C/O CATALENT, INC. 14 SCHOOLHOUSE ROAD SOMERSET NJ 08822
Thl Equity Fund Viii Investors (d&b), L.p. director, 10 percent owner C/O THOMAS H. LEE PARTNERS, L.P. 100 FEDERAL STREET, 35TH FLOOR BOSTON MA 02110
Thl Managers Viii, Llc director, 10 percent owner 100 FEDERAL STREET, 35TH FLOOR BOSTON MA 02110
Thl Equity Advisors Viii, Llc director, 10 percent owner 100 FEDERAL STREET, 35TH FLOOR BOSTON MA 02110
Thl Fund Viii Coinvestment Partners, L.p. director, 10 percent owner 100 FEDERAL STREET, 35TH FLOOR BOSTON MA 02110
Thomas H. Lee Equity Fund Viii, L.p. director, 10 percent owner C/O THOMAS H. LEE PARTNERS, L.P. 100 FEDERAL STREET BOSTON MA 02110
Thl Executive Fund Viii, L.p. director, 10 percent owner C/O THOMAS H. LEE PARTNERS, L.P. 100 FEDERAL STREET BOSTON MA 02110
Thomas H. Lee Parallel Fund Viii, L.p. director, 10 percent owner C/O THOMAS H. LEE PARTNERS, L.P. 100 FEDERAL STREET BOSTON MA 02110
Jackson Keith J director ONE MISSISSIPPI PLAZA 201 SOUTH SPRING STREET TUPELO MS 38804
Ammerman Douglas K director 601 RIVERSIDE AVENUE JACKSONVILLE FL 32204
Thl Holdco, Llc director, 10 percent owner 100 FEDERAL STREET, 35TH FLOOR BOSTON MA 02110
Thomas H Lee Partners Lp director, 10 percent owner 100 FEDERAL STREET, 35TH FLOOR BOSTON MA 02110
Thomas H. Lee Advisors, Llc director, 10 percent owner C/O THOMAS H. LEE PARTNERS, L.P. 100 FEDERAL STREET, 35TH FLOOR BOSTON MA 02110
Foley William P Ii director, 10 percent owner, other: Chairman of the Board FIDELITY NATIONAL FINANCIAL, INC. 601 RIVERSIDE AVENUE JACKSONVILLE FL 32204
Massey Richard N director 900 S. SHACKLEFORD ROAD SUITE 401 LITTLE ROCK AR 72211

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