Pinterest (NYSE:PINS) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

: $7.70 (As of Today)

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As of today (2023-06-03), Pinterest's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $7.70.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Pinterest's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Pinterest is -204.81%.

The industry rank for Pinterest's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

PINS's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked ^*
in the Interactive Media industry.
Industry Median: 1.05
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Pinterest Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Pinterest's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Pinterest Annual Data

Trend

Dec17

Dec18

Dec19

Dec20

Dec21

Dec22

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

Pinterest Quarterly Data
	Jun18	Sep18	Dec18	Mar19	Jun19	Sep19	Dec19	Mar20	Jun20	Sep20	Dec20	Mar21	Jun21	Sep21	Dec21	Mar22	Jun22	Sep22	Dec22	Mar23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)																-	-	-	-	-

Pinterest Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 10%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. We used the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer, then added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
Growth Rate in the growth stage = average free cash flow growth rate in the past 10 years. If it is higher than 20%, we use 20%. If it is less than 5%, we use 5% instead. => For companies with Average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 10 years less than 5%, GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $0.617.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Pinterest's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)	=	Free Cash Flow per Share	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.1) = 0.95454545454545
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.1) = 0.94545454545455

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

Free Cash Flow per Share

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

Free Cash Flow per Share

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

0.617

12.485

7.70

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
	=	(7.7	-	23.47)	/	7.7
	=	-204.81 %

Pinterest (NYSE:PINS) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

Pinterest Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Pinterest's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Pinterest (NYSE:PINS) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Communication Services » Interactive Media » Pinterest Inc (NYSE:PINS) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

PINS:Mexico P2IN34:Brazil

Address

505 Brannan Street, San Francisco, CA, USA, 94107

Website

https://www.pinterest.com

Pinterest is an online product and idea discovery platform that helps users gather ideas on everything from recipes to cook to destinations to travel to. Founded in 2010, the platform consists of a largely female audience, at roughly two thirds of its more than 365 million monthly active users. The company generates revenue by selling digital ads and is now rolling out more in-platform e-commerce features.

Executives

Marc Steinberg	director	600 STEAMBOAT ROAD, 3RD FLOOR, GREENWICH CT 06830
Wanjiku Juanita Walcott	officer: Chief Legal Officer	2500 LAKE COOK ROAD, RIVERWOODS IL 60015
William J Ready	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	C/O PAYPAL HOLDINGS, INC., 2211 NORTH FIRST STREET, SAN JOSE CA 95131
Andrea Acosta	officer: Chief Accounting Officer	C/O BIOMARIN PHARMACEUTICAL INC., 770 LINDARO ST, SAN RAFAEL CA 94901
Naveen Gavini	officer: SVP, Products	505 BRANNAN ST., SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Salaam Coleman	director	505 BRANNAN ST., SAN FRANCISCO CA 94701
Andrea M Wishom	director	651 BRANNAN ST., SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
L Michelle Wilson	director	PO BOX 81226, SEATTLE WA 98108-1226
Jeremy S. Levine	director	C/O BESSEMER VENTURE PARTNERS, 1865 PALMER AVENUE, LARCHMONT NY 10538
Fredric G Reynolds	director	CBS CORPORATION, 51 WEST 52ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10019
Leslie J Kilgore	director	121 ALBRIGHT WAY, LOS GATOS CA 95032
Gokul Rajaram	director	301 CONGRESS AVENUE, SUITE 700, AUSTIN TX 78701
Jeffrey D Jordan	director	2865 SAND HILL ROAD #101, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Evan Sharp	director, officer: Co-Founder & Chief Design & Cr	505 BRANNAN STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Benjamin Silbermann	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman, President, CEO, Co-F	505 BRANNAN STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107