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Citizens Financial Services (Citizens Financial Services) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $59.18 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Citizens Financial Services Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-04-27), Citizens Financial Services's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $59.18.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Citizens Financial Services's Predictability Rank is 5-Stars.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Citizens Financial Services is 32.41%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Citizens Financial Services's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

CZFS' s Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.45   Med: 0.77   Max: 1.04
Current: 0.68

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Dividends Based) Ratio of Citizens Financial Services was 1.04. The lowest was 0.45. And the median was 0.77.

CZFS's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is ranked worse than
50.92% of 546 companies
in the Banks industry
Industry Median: 0.66 vs CZFS: 0.68

Citizens Financial Services Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Citizens Financial Services's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Citizens Financial Services Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Citizens Financial Services Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 91.76 120.65 106.45 82.07 64.03

Citizens Financial Services Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 82.07 83.05 70.22 63.25 64.03

Competitive Comparison of Citizens Financial Services's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Citizens Financial Services's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Citizens Financial Services's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Citizens Financial Services's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Citizens Financial Services's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



Citizens Financial Services Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5.10%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Citizens Financial Services's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 5.10%, which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5.10%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $5.0949.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Citizens Financial Services's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.051)/(1+0.11) = 0.94684684684685
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=5.0949*11.6156
=59.18

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= (59.18 - 40.00) / 59.18
= 32.41 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Citizens Financial Services  (NAS:CZFS) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Citizens Financial Services Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Citizens Financial Services's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Citizens Financial Services (Citizens Financial Services) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
15 South Main Street, Mansfield, PA, USA, 16933
Citizens Financial Services Inc is a Pennsylvania-chartered bank and trust company. The company through its banking subsidiary provides banking activities and services for individual, business, governmental and institutional customers. Its activities and services principally include checking, savings, and time deposit accounts; residential, commercial and agricultural real estate, commercial and industrial, state and political subdivision and consumer loans; and a variety of other specialized financial services. The Trust and Investment division of the Bank offers a full range of client investment, estate, mineral management and retirement services.
Executives
R Joseph Landy director 741 SOUTH MAIN STREET, ATHENS PA 18810
Stephen J Guillaume officer: SENIOR VICE PRESIDENT POST OFFICE BOX 43, LIBERTY PA 16930
Robert Joseph Marino director 407 33RD STREET S, BRIGANTINE NJ 08203
Richards David Z Jr director, officer: EXECUTIVE VICE PRESIDENT 209 TWIGS LANE, STATE COLLEGE PA 16801
Rinaldo A Depaola director 50 REEL STREET, SAYRE PA 18840
John D Behm other: Subsidiary Director 2114 BLUE STEM DRIVE, NEW HOPE PA 18938-2311
Leeann Gephart officer: EXECUTIVE VICE PRESIDENT 2260 HEIM HILL ROAD, MONTOURSVILLE PA 17754
Painter John P Ii director 571 HOWLAND HILL ROAD, WESTFIELD PA 16950
Thomas E. Freeman director 831 KELLYTOWN ROAD, MANSFIELD PA 16933
Janie M Hilifger director 830 CANADA ROAD, COVINGTON PA 16917
Graham Roger C Jr director 1281 BRAGUE ROAD, CANTON PA 17724
Christopher W Kunes director 3896 PENNS VALLEY ROAD, SPRING MILLS PA 16875
Dwight D Rohrer officer: SENIOR VICE PRESIDENT 2385 JUNCTION ROAD, MANHEIM PA 17545
Marina K Smalanskas officer: SENIOR VICE PRESIDENT 1445 ROCKY WAY, MECHANICSBURG PA 17055
Sean P Mckinney officer: VICE PRESIDENT 11 TOWER LANE, GRANTVILLE PA 17028