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Incyte (NAS:INCY) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

: $0.00 (As of Today)
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As of today (2022-12-07), Incyte's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $0.00.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history with more than 5 years. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, the data will not be stored into our database.

Incyte's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Incyte is N/A.

The historical rank and industry rank for Incyte's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:


Incyte (NAS:INCY) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Incyte's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Incyte Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Incyte Quarterly Data
Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Incyte (NAS:INCY) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Competitive Comparison

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Incyte's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Incyte (NAS:INCY) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Incyte's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Incyte's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



Incyte Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. H-Model formula is applied here, in which dividends are used in the calculation with two stage of dividend growth. The calculation for H-Model DDM valuation shows as below.

The H-model formula consists of two parts. The first component of the equation adds the value from the high growth rate period, which is called growth stage. The second component of the formula considers the value of the stock based on the long-term growth rate, which is called the terminal stage. It ignores the high growth rate period. In the growth stage, the dividends of company grows at a faster rate. As it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 10%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. We used the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer, then added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
Growth Rate in the growth stage = average dividend growth rate in the past 5 years. If it is higher than 20%, we use 20%. If it is less than 5%, we use 5% instead. => Average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 5 years was 0.00% which is lower than 5%, GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: dividends per share = $0.000.
GuruFocus DCF calculator applies H-Model to the calculation here, using dividends per share TTM as the default.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Incyte's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) = Dividends per Share *( g1 - g2 ) / ( d - g2 ) * y1 / 2
+ Dividends per Share * ( 1 + g2 ) / ( d - g2 )
= 0.000 * (0.05 - 0.04) / (0.1 - 0.04) * 10 / 2
+ 0.000 * ( 1 + 0.04) / (0.1 - 0.04)
= 0.00

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= (0 - 84.03) / 0
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Incyte  (NAS:INCY) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 5 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Incyte Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Incyte's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Incyte (NAS:INCY) Business Description

Incyte logo
Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Incyte Corp (NAS:INCY) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
Address
1801 Augustine Cut-Off, Wilmington, DE, USA, 19803
Incyte focuses on the discovery and development of small-molecule drugs. The firm's lead drug, Jakafi, treats two types of rare blood cancer and graft versus host disease and is partnered with Novartis. Incyte's other marketed drugs include rheumatoid arthritis treatment Olumiant (licensed to Lilly), and oncology drugs Iclusig (chronic myeloid leukemia), Pemazyre (cholangiocarcinoma), Tabrecta (lung cancer), and Monjuvi (diffuse large B-cell lymphoma). The firm's first dermatology product, Opzelura, was approved in 2021 for atopic dermatitis. Incyte's pipeline includes a broad array of oncology and dermatology programs.
Executives
Tray Thomas officer: Principal Accounting Officer C/O INCYTE CORPORATION 1801 AUGUSTINE CUT-OFF WILMINGTON DE 19803
Brawley Otis W director 5203 BRISTOL INDUSTRIAL WAY BUFORD GA 30518
High Katherine A director 3737 MARKET STREET SUITE 1300 PHILADELPHIA PA 19104
Harrigan Edmund director
Morrissey Michael James officer: EVP, Head of Tech. Operations IN CARE OF INCYTE CORPORATION 1801 AUGUSTINE CUT OFF WILMINGTON DE 19803
Dickinson Jonathan Elliott officer: EVP, General Manager, Europe CARE OF INCYTE CORPORATION 1801 AUGUSTINE CUT OFF WILMINGTON DE 19803
Stamoulis Christiana officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer C/O VERTEX PHARMACEUTICALS INCORPORATED 130 WAVERLY ST CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Dhanak Dashyant officer: EVP & Chief Scientific Officer C/O INCYTE CORPORATION 1801 AUGUSTINE CUT-OFF WILMINGTON DE 19803
Pasquale Maria E officer: EVP & General Counsel C/O INCYTE CORPORATION 1801 AUGUSTINE CUT-OFF WILMINGTON DE 19803
Fouse Jacqualyn A director C/O DICK'S SPORTING GOODS 345 COURT STREET CORAOPOLIS PA 15108
Iyengar Vijay K officer: EVP GPS, BD, & Licensing 1801 AUGUSTINE CUT-OFF WILMINGTON DE 19803
Stein Steven H officer: EVP & Chief Medical Officer 1801 AUGUSTINE CUT-OFF WILMINGTON DE 19803
Trower Paul officer: VP, Finance & Prin Acc Officer 1801 AUGUSTINE CUT-OFF WILMINGTON DE 19803
Clancy Paul J director C/O BIOGEN IDEC INC. 14 CAMBRIDGE CENTER CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Bienaime Jean Jacques director 925 PAGE MILL ROAD PALO ALTO CA 94304

Incyte (NAS:INCY) Headlines

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