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Jefferies Financial Group (Jefferies Financial Group) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

: $40.22 (As of Today)
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As of today (2024-04-24), Jefferies Financial Group's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $40.22.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Jefferies Financial Group's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Jefferies Financial Group is -10.87%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Jefferies Financial Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Dividends Based) Ratio of Jefferies Financial Group was 1.12. The lowest was 0.47. And the median was 0.63.

JEF's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Capital Markets industry.
Industry Median: 1.26
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

Jefferies Financial Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Jefferies Financial Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Jefferies Financial Group Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Nov19 Nov20 Nov21 Nov22 Nov23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - 76.75 -

Jefferies Financial Group Quarterly Data
May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 59.33 49.23 31.96 - -

Competitive Comparison

For the Capital Markets subindustry, Jefferies Financial Group's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Jefferies Financial Group Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Jefferies Financial Group's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Jefferies Financial Group's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



Jefferies Financial Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.62%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 20%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Jefferies Financial Group's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 20.40%, which is no less than 20%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 20%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $1.287.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Jefferies Financial Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.2)/(1+0.11) = 1.0810810810811
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=1.287*31.2501
=40.22

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= (40.22 - 44.59) / 40.22
= -10.87 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Jefferies Financial Group  (NYSE:JEF) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Jefferies Financial Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

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Jefferies Financial Group (Jefferies Financial Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
520 Madison Avenue, New York, NY, USA, 10022
Jefferies Financial Group Inc is a diversified financial services company. Its business consists of investment banking and capital markets (Jefferies Group), commercial mortgage banking (Berkadia), asset management (Leucadia Asset Management), and online platform for foreign exchange trading (FXCM), a real estate company (Homefed), and vehicle finance (Foursight Capital and Chrome Capital). The company is also involved in other businesses, such as oil and gas exploration, through JETX and Vitesse Energy; automobile dealerships, through Gargadia; fixed wireless broadband services, through Linkem; and gold and silver mining through Golden Queen, among others.
Executives
Joseph S Steinberg director, 10 percent owner, officer: President C/O LEUCADIA NATIONAL CORP, 315 PARK AVENUE SOUTH, NEW YORK NY 10010
Mark Lawrence Cagno officer: VP and Co-Controller C/O JEFFERIES FINANCIAL GROUP INC., 520 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Matthew Scott Larson officer: EVP, Co-CFO C/O JEFFERIES FINANCIAL GROUP INC., 520 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Brian P Friedman director, officer: President
Rocco J Nittoli officer: Treasurer 315 PARK AVENUE SOUTH, NEW YORK NY 10010
Thomas W Jones director ALTRIA GROUP INC, 6601 WEST BROAD STREET, RICHMOND VA 23230
O Kane Michael T director 80 HICKORY HILL BLVD, TOTOWA NJ 07512
Melissa Weiler director 399 PARK AVE 38TH FL, NEW YORK DC 10022
Matrice Ellis-kirk director C/O JEFFERIES FINANCIAL GROUP INC, 520 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Stuart Harry Reese director
Barry J Alperin director C/O HENRY SCHEIN INC, 135 DURYEA RD, MELVILLE NY 11747
Jacob M Katz director C/O HERC HOLDINGS INC., 27500 RIVERVIEW CENTER BLVD., BONITA SPRINGS FL 34134
Maryanne Gilmartin director C/O JEFFERIES FINANCIAL GROUP INC., 520 MADISON AVE., NEW YORK NY 10022
John Merritt Dalton officer: Controller 520 MADISON AVE., NEW YORK NY 10022
Teresa S Gendron officer: Chief Financial Officer 520 MADISON AVE., C/O JEFFERIES FINANCIAL GROUP INC., NEW YORK NY 10022