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TE Connectivity (NYSE:TEL) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

: $41.78 (As of Today)
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As of today (2023-02-07), TE Connectivity's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $41.78.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history with more than 5 years. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, the data will not be stored into our database.

TE Connectivity's Predictability Rank is 3-Stars.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for TE Connectivity is -220.03%.

The historical rank and industry rank for TE Connectivity's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

TEL' s Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.87   Med: 2.89   Max: 2.9
Current: 3.17

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Dividends Based) Ratio of TE Connectivity was 2.90. The lowest was 2.87. And the median was 2.89.

TEL's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is ranked worse than
71.49% of 235 companies
in the Hardware industry
Industry Median: 1.65 vs TEL: 3.17

TE Connectivity Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for TE Connectivity's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

TE Connectivity Annual Data
Trend Sep13 Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - 38.51

TE Connectivity Quarterly Data
Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - 38.51 39.60

Competitive Comparison

For the Electronic Components subindustry, TE Connectivity's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

TE Connectivity Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, TE Connectivity's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where TE Connectivity's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) falls in comparison to its industry or sector. The grey bar indicates the Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)'s extreme value range as defined by GuruFocus.



TE Connectivity Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. H-Model formula is applied here, in which dividends are used in the calculation with two stage of dividend growth. The calculation for H-Model DDM valuation shows as below.

The H-model formula consists of two parts. The first component of the equation adds the value from the high growth rate period, which is called growth stage. The second component of the formula considers the value of the stock based on the long-term growth rate, which is called the terminal stage. It ignores the high growth rate period. In the growth stage, the dividends of company grows at a faster rate. As it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 10%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. We used the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer, then added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 6.20%
Growth Rate in the growth stage = average dividend growth rate in the past 5 years. If it is higher than 20%, we use 20%. If it is less than 5%, we use 5% instead. => Average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 5 years was 6.20% which is less than 20% and higher than 5% => Growth Rate: 6.20%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: dividends per share = $2.180.
GuruFocus DCF calculator applies H-Model to the calculation here, using dividends per share TTM as the default.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

TE Connectivity's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) = Dividends per Share *( g1 - g2 ) / ( d - g2 ) * y1 / 2
+ Dividends per Share * ( 1 + g2 ) / ( d - g2 )
= 2.180 * (0.062 - 0.04) / (0.1 - 0.04) * 10 / 2
+ 2.180 * ( 1 + 0.04) / (0.1 - 0.04)
= 41.78

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= (41.78 - 133.71) / 41.78
= -220.03 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


TE Connectivity  (NYSE:TEL) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 5 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


TE Connectivity Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of TE Connectivity's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


TE Connectivity (NYSE:TEL) Business Description

TE Connectivity logo
Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Hardware » TE Connectivity Ltd (NYSE:TEL) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Muhlenstrasse 26, Schaffhausen, CHE, CH-8200
TE Connectivity is the largest electrical connector supplier in the world, supplying interconnect and sensor solutions to the transportation, industrial, and communications markets. With operations in 150 countries and over 500,000 stock-keeping units, TE Connectivity has a broad portfolio that forms the electrical architecture of its end customers' cutting-edge innovations.
Executives
Syaru Shirley Lin director
Aaron Kyle Stucki officer: Pres. Communications Solutions 1050 WESTLAKES DRIVE, BERWYN PA 19312
Lynn A Dugle director 4803 STONECROFT BOULEVARD, CHANTILLY VA 20151
Dawn C Willoughby director 1221 BROADWAY, OAKLAND CA 94612
Kevin N Rock officer: President, Industrial Solution 1050 WESTLAKES DRIVE, BERWYN PA 19312
David M Kerko director C/O KKR, 9 WEST 57TH STREET, 41ST FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Shadrak W Kroeger officer: Pres., Communications Solution 1050 WESTLAKES DRIVE, BERWYN PA 19312
Abhijit Y Talwalkar director ONE AMD PLACE, PO BOX 3453, SUNNYVALE CA 94088
Heath A Mitts officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer 1925 WEST FIELD COURT, SUITE 200, LAKE FOREST IL 60045
Tim Murphy officer: SVP & CHRO 1050 WESTLAKES DRIVE, BERWYN PA 19312
Mark Trudeau director COVIDIEN PLC, 15 HAMPSHIRE STREET, MANSFIELD MA 02048
Carol Anthony Davidson director
Laura Wright director 2702 LOVE FIELD DRIVE, P.O. BOX 36611, DALLAS TX 75235-1611
John S Jenkins officer: EVP & General Counsel 1050 WESTLAKES DRIVE, BERWYN PA 19312
Bradley Alan Gambill officer: SVP, Strategy & Business Dev. 1050 WESTLAKES DRIVE, BERWYN PA 19312

TE Connectivity (NYSE:TEL) Headlines

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