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Incyte (NAS:INCY) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $32.62 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2023-02-08), Incyte's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $32.62. The stock price of Incyte is $80.50. Therefore, Incyte's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for Incyte's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

INCY' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.04   Med: 8.76   Max: 269.4
Current: 2.47

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Incyte was 269.40. The lowest was 2.04. And the median was 8.76.

INCY's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
58.33% of 204 companies
in the Biotechnology industry
Industry Median: 3.10 vs INCY: 2.47

Incyte Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Incyte's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Incyte Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 10.29 19.57 16.75 26.43 -

Incyte Quarterly Data
Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 26.43 27.96 29.41 32.62 -

Competitive Comparison

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Incyte's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Incyte Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Distribution

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Incyte's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Incyte's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF falls in comparison to its industry or sector. The grey bar indicates the Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF's extreme value range as defined by GuruFocus.



Incyte Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Incyte's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $306.95.

Incyte's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec22)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(13.878285919786*306.9512+4370.119*0.8)/224.954
=34.48

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Incyte  (NAS:INCY) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Incyte's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=80.50/34.478389879804
=2.33

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Incyte Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Incyte's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Incyte (NAS:INCY) Business Description

Incyte logo
Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1801 Augustine Cut-Off, Wilmington, DE, USA, 19803
Incyte focuses on the discovery and development of small-molecule drugs. The firm's lead drug, Jakafi, treats two types of rare blood cancer and graft versus host disease and is partnered with Novartis. Incyte's other marketed drugs include rheumatoid arthritis treatment Olumiant (licensed to Lilly), and oncology drugs Iclusig (chronic myeloid leukemia), Pemazyre (cholangiocarcinoma), Tabrecta (lung cancer), and Monjuvi (diffuse large B-cell lymphoma). The firm's first dermatology product, Opzelura, was approved in 2021 for atopic dermatitis. Incyte's pipeline includes a broad array of oncology and dermatology programs.
Executives
Susanne Schaffert director C/O RUBIUS THERAPEUTICS, INC., 399 BINNEY STREET, SUITE 300, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Thomas Tray officer: Principal Accounting Officer C/O INCYTE CORPORATION, 1801 AUGUSTINE CUT-OFF, WILMINGTON DE 19803
Otis W Brawley director 5203 BRISTOL INDUSTRIAL WAY, BUFORD GA 30518
Katherine A High director 3737 MARKET STREET, SUITE 1300, PHILADELPHIA PA 19104
Edmund Harrigan director
Michael James Morrissey officer: EVP, Head of Tech. Operations IN CARE OF INCYTE CORPORATION, 1801 AUGUSTINE CUT OFF, WILMINGTON DE 19803
Jonathan Elliott Dickinson officer: EVP, General Manager, Europe CARE OF INCYTE CORPORATION, 1801 AUGUSTINE CUT OFF, WILMINGTON DE 19803
Christiana Stamoulis officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer C/O VERTEX PHARMACEUTICALS INCORPORATED, 130 WAVERLY ST, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Dashyant Dhanak officer: EVP & Chief Scientific Officer C/O INCYTE CORPORATION, 1801 AUGUSTINE CUT-OFF, WILMINGTON DE 19803
Maria E Pasquale officer: EVP & General Counsel C/O INCYTE CORPORATION, 1801 AUGUSTINE CUT-OFF, WILMINGTON DE 19803
Jacqualyn A Fouse director C/O DICK'S SPORTING GOODS, 345 COURT STREET, CORAOPOLIS PA 15108
Vijay K Iyengar officer: EVP GPS, BD, & Licensing 1801 AUGUSTINE CUT-OFF, WILMINGTON DE 19803
Steven H Stein officer: EVP & Chief Medical Officer 1801 AUGUSTINE CUT-OFF, WILMINGTON DE 19803
Paul Trower officer: VP, Finance & Prin Acc Officer 1801 AUGUSTINE CUT-OFF, WILMINGTON DE 19803
Paul J Clancy director C/O BIOGEN IDEC INC., 14 CAMBRIDGE CENTER, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142

Incyte (NAS:INCY) Headlines

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