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Kirkland's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $8.05 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2021-10-17), Kirkland's's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $8.05. The stock price of Kirkland's is $22.34. Therefore, Kirkland's's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.8.

The historical rank and industry rank for Kirkland's's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

NAS:KIRK' s Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.1   Med: 1.04   Max: 3.08
Current: 2.78

0.1
3.08

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Kirkland's was 3.08. The lowest was 0.10. And the median was 1.04.

NAS:KIRK's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF is ranked lower than
99.99% of the 154 Companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry.

( Industry Median: 1.53 vs. NAS:KIRK: 2.78 )

Kirkland's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Kirkland's's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Kirkland's Annual Data
Trend Jan12 Jan13 Jan14 Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 17.33 18.44 18.43 11.24 14.84

Kirkland's Quarterly Data
Oct16 Jan17 Apr17 Jul17 Oct17 Jan18 Apr18 Jul18 Oct18 Jan19 Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.97 8.46 14.84 9.61 8.05

Competitive Comparison

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Kirkland's's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Kirkland's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Distribution

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Kirkland's's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kirkland's's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF falls into.



Kirkland's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Kirkland's's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $5.71.

Kirkland's's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jul21)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*5.7088+84.602*0.8)/15.161
=8.05

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Kirkland's  (NAS:KIRK) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Kirkland's's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=22.34/8.0490325962037
=2.78

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Kirkland's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Kirkland's's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Kirkland's Business Description

Kirkland's logo
Industry
Consumer Cyclical » Retail - Cyclical NAICS : 442299 SIC : 5999
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
5310 Maryland Way, Brentwood, TN, USA, 37027
Kirkland's Inc is a specialty retailer of home decor and gifts in the United States. Its stores provide various merchandise, including holiday decor, framed arts, furniture, ornamental wall decor, fragrance and accessories, mirrors, lamps, decorative accessories, textiles, housewares, gifts, artificial floral products, frames, clocks, and outdoor living items. Its stores also offer an assortment of holiday merchandise in seasonal periods, as well as items that are suitable for gift-giving.
Executives
Martin Jeffrey T. officer: Sr. VP of Omni-Channel Retail 5310 MARYLAND WAY BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Collins Steven J director 29 VINTON STREET, #5 BOSTON MA 02127
Woodward Steven C director, officer: President and CEO 550 BAILEY AVENUE FORT WORTH TX 76107
Strain Nicole Allyson officer: Chief Financial Officer 5310 MARYLAND WAY BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Pleas Charles Iii director 123 S. FRONT STREET DEPT. 8074 MEMPHIS TN 38103
Lanigan Susan S director 100 MISSION RIDGE GOODLETTSVILLE TN 37072
Cairnes Mike officer: President and COO 5310 MARYLAND WAY BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Sandfort Gregory A director TRACTOR SUPPLY COMPANY 5401 VIRGINIA WAY BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Spain Murray director C/O B&M LEASING 283 2ND STREET PIKE SUITE 110 SOUTHAMPTON PA 18966
Parks Ralph T director 451 INDUSTRIAL LANE BIRMINGHAM AL 35211
Global Private Equity Ii Limited Partnership other: Member of Group > 10% C/O ADVENT INTERNATIONAL CORP 75 STATE ST 29TH FLOOR BOSTON MA 02104
Advent Direct Investment Program Limited Partnership other: Member of Group > 10% C/O ADVENT INTERNATIONAL CORP 75 STATE ST 29TH FLOOR BOSTON MA 02104
Advent Partners Limited Partnership other: Member of Group > 10% C/O ADVENT INTERNATIONAL CORP 75 STATE ST 29TH FLOOR BOSTON MA 02104
Advent International Limited Partnership other: Member of Group > 10% C/O ADVENT INTERNATIONAL CORP 75 STATE ST 29TH FLOOR BOSTON MA 02104
Advent International Corp/ma other: Member of Group > 10% 800 BOYLSTON STREET SUITE 3300 BOSTON MA 02199

Kirkland's Headlines

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