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AMPY (Amplify Energy) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $14.21 (As of Jul. 12, 2025)


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What is Amplify Energy Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2025-07-12), Amplify Energy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $14.21. The stock price of Amplify Energy is $3.39. Therefore, Amplify Energy's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.2.

The historical rank and industry rank for Amplify Energy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

AMPY' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.24   Med: 0.47   Max: 7.73
Current: 0.24

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Amplify Energy was 7.73. The lowest was 0.24. And the median was 0.47.

AMPY's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
89.76% of 654 companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 0.735 vs AMPY: 0.24

Amplify Energy Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Amplify Energy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Amplify Energy Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Amplify Energy Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -11.63 -6.52 2.18 14.72 14.89

Amplify Energy Quarterly Data
Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 14.16 14.52 15.23 14.89 14.21

Competitive Comparison of Amplify Energy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Amplify Energy's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Amplify Energy's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Amplify Energy's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Amplify Energy's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


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Amplify Energy Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Amplify Energy's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $26.11.

Amplify Energy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar25)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*26.10928+402.937*0.8)/40.188
=14.21

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Amplify Energy  (NYSE:AMPY) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Amplify Energy's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=3.39/14.206208955845
=0.24

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Amplify Energy Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Amplify Energy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Amplify Energy Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
500 Dallas Street, Suite 1700, Houston, TX, USA, 77002
Amplify Energy Corp is an independent oil and natural gas company engaged in the acquisition, development, exploitation, and production of oil and natural gas properties in the United States. The company's oil and natural gas properties are located in large, mature oil and natural gas reservoirs. The company assets consists of producing oil and natural gas properties located in Oklahoma, the Rockies, federal waters offshore Southern California, East Texas/North Louisiana and Eagle Ford.
Executives
Deborah G Adams director FULBRIGHT TOWER, 1301 MCKINNEY STREET, SUITE 2300, HOUSTON TX 77010
James Frew officer: SVP, CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER 500 DALLAS STREET, SUITE 2700, HOUSTON TX 77002
Todd R Snyder director 1251 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 51ST FLOOR, NY NY 10020
Martyn Willsher officer: SVP, CFO 500 DALLAS STREET, SUITE 1700, HOUSTON TX 77002
Eric Edward Dulany officer: See Remarks C/O AMPLIFY ENERGY, 500 DALLAS STREET, SUITE 1700, HOUSTON TX 77002
Daniel Furbee officer: SVP, CHIEF OPERATING OFFICER 500 DALLAS STREET, SUITE 1700, HOUSTON TX 77002
Vidisha Prasad director C/O CENTENNIAL RESOURCE DEVELOPMENT, INC, 1001 17TH STREET, SUITE 1800, DENVER CO 80202
Patrice D Douglas director 1712 CROSSBOW, EDMOND OK 73034
Christopher W. Hamm director 500 DALLAS STREET, SUITE 1700, HOUSTON TX 77002
James E Craddock director 410 - 17TH STREET, SUITE 1400, DENVER CO 80202
Eric T. Greager director 410 - 17TH STREET, SUITE 1400, DENVER CO 80202
Evan S. Lederman director C/O FIR TREE PARTNERS, 55 WEST 46TH STREET, 29TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
David Proman director C/O FIR TREE INC., 55 WEST 46TH STREET, 29TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Richard Smiley officer: Senior V.P. Operations 500 DALLAS STREET, SUITE 1800, HOUSTON TX 77002
Anthony William Lopez officer: See Remarks 500 DALLAS STREET, SUITE 1700, HOUSTON TX 77002