What is Chipotle Mexican Grill Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
The historical rank and industry rank for Chipotle Mexican Grill's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
CMG'
s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.76 Med: 4.41 Max: 8.89
Current: 4.79
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Chipotle Mexican Grill was 8.89. The lowest was 1.76. And the median was 4.41.
CMG's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than 88.44% of 225
companies
in the Restaurants industry
Industry Median: 1.05
vs CMG: 4.79
Chipotle Mexican Grill Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
The historical data trend for Chipotle Mexican Grill's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Competitive Comparison of Chipotle Mexican Grill's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
For the Restaurants subindustry, Chipotle Mexican Grill's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Chipotle Mexican Grill's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Restaurants Industry
For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Chipotle Mexican Grill's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Chipotle Mexican Grill's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Chipotle Mexican Grill's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
56.00
/
11.67883867081
=
4.79
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Chipotle Mexican Grill Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Chipotle Mexican Grill's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Chipotle Mexican Grill is the largest fast-casual chain restaurant in the United States, with systemwide sales of $11.3 billion in 2024. The Mexican concept is almost exclusively company-owned, with just three license stores operated through a master franchise relationship with Alshaya Group in the Middle East. It had a footprint of 3,726 stores at the end of 2024, heavily indexed to the United States, although it maintains a small presence in Canada, the UK, France, and Germany. Chipotle sells burritos, burrito bowls, tacos, quesadillas, and beverages, with a selling proposition built around competitive prices, high-quality food sourcing, speed of service, and convenience. The company generates its revenue entirely from restaurant sales and delivery fees.
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