Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2022-08-13), Chipotle Mexican Grill's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $279.25. The stock price of Chipotle Mexican Grill is $1663.70. Therefore, Chipotle Mexican Grill's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 6.0.
The historical rank and industry rank for Chipotle Mexican Grill's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
CMG'
s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.76 Med: 4.05 Max: 8.9
Current: 5.96
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Chipotle Mexican Grill was 8.90. The lowest was 1.76. And the median was 4.05.
CMG's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than 89.16% of 203
companies
in the Restaurants industry
Industry Median: 1.46
vs CMG: 5.96
Chipotle Mexican Grill Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
The historical data trend for Chipotle Mexican Grill's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
* Premium members only.
Chipotle Mexican Grill Annual Data
Trend
Dec12
Dec13
Dec14
Dec15
Dec16
Dec17
Dec18
Dec19
Dec20
Dec21
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
164.56
166.28
170.69
169.87
223.85
Chipotle Mexican Grill Quarterly Data
Sep17
Dec17
Mar18
Jun18
Sep18
Dec18
Mar19
Jun19
Sep19
Dec19
Mar20
Jun20
Sep20
Dec20
Mar21
Jun21
Sep21
Dec21
Mar22
Jun22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
190.14
204.33
223.85
233.97
279.25
Competitive Comparison
For the Restaurants subindustry, Chipotle Mexican Grill's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Chipotle Mexican Grill Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Distribution
For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Chipotle Mexican Grill's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Chipotle Mexican Grill's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF falls into.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Chipotle Mexican Grill's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
1663.70
/
279.2542536551
=
5.96
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Chipotle Mexican Grill Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Chipotle Mexican Grill's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Chipotle Mexican Grill is the largest fast-casual chain restaurant in the United States, with systemwide sales of $7.5 billion over the last twelve months. The Mexican concept is entirely company-owned, with a footprint of nearly 3,000 stores at the end of 2021 heavily indexed to the United States, though the firm maintains a small presence in Canada, the U.K., France, and Germany. Chipotle sells burritos, burrito bowls, tacos, quesadillas, and beverages, with a selling proposition built around competitive prices, high-quality food sourcing, speed of service, and convenience. The company generates its revenue entirely from restaurant sales and delivery fees.
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