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Delta Air Lines Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $20.80 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2021-12-03), Delta Air Lines's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $20.80. The stock price of Delta Air Lines is $35.98. Therefore, Delta Air Lines's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.7.

The historical rank and industry rank for Delta Air Lines's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

NYSE:DAL' s Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.45   Med: 1.3   Max: 112.19
Current: 1.73

0.45
112.19

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Delta Air Lines was 112.19. The lowest was 0.45. And the median was 1.30.

NYSE:DAL's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF is ranked lower than
69% of the 642 Companies
in the Transportation industry.

( Industry Median: 1.07 vs. NYSE:DAL: 1.73 )

Delta Air Lines Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Delta Air Lines's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Delta Air Lines Annual Data
Trend Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 45.94 49.39 56.04 68.10 24.69

Delta Air Lines Quarterly Data
Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 33.59 24.69 24.16 25.06 20.80

Competitive Comparison

For the Airlines subindustry, Delta Air Lines's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Delta Air Lines Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Distribution

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Delta Air Lines's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Delta Air Lines's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF falls into.



Delta Air Lines Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Delta Air Lines's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $1,181.44.

Delta Air Lines's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Sep21)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*1181.44+2606*0.8)/641.000
=20.80

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Delta Air Lines  (NYSE:DAL) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Delta Air Lines's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=35.98/20.799569718466
=1.73

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Delta Air Lines Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Delta Air Lines's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Delta Air Lines Business Description

Delta Air Lines logo
Industry
Industrials » Transportation NAICS : 481111 SIC : 4512
Address
Post Office Box 20706, Atlanta, GA, USA, 30320-6001
Atlanta-based Delta Air Lines is one of the world's largest airlines, with a network of over 300 destinations in more than 50 countries. Delta operates a hub-and-spoke system network, where it gathers and distributes passengers across the globe through key locations in Atlanta, New York, Salt Lake City, Detroit, Seattle, and Minneapolis-St. Paul. Delta's sale of frequent flier miles, particularly to American Express, is a major driver of the firm's profits.
Executives
Jacobson Paul A officer: EVP & CFO C/O DELTA AIR LINES, INC., DEPT. 981 P.O. BOX 20574 ATLANTA GA 30320
Carter Ashton B director C/O DELTA AIR LINES, INC. P.O. BOX 20574, DEPT. 981 ATLANTA GA 30320
Mattson George N director C/O DELTA AIR LINES, INC. P.O. BOX 20574, DEPT. 981 ATLANTA GA 30320
Jackson Jeanne P director 537 NEWPORT CENTER DRIVE #306 NEWPORT BEACH CA 92660
Waller Kathy N director THE COCA-COLA COMPANY ONE COCA-COLA PLAZA ATLANTA GA 30313
Taylor David S director THE PROCTER & GAMBLE COMPANY ONE PROCTER & GAMBLE PLAZA CINCINNATI OH 45202
Rial Sergio director CARGILL, INCORPORATED 15615 MCGINTY ROAD WEST WAYZATA MN 55391
Huerta Michael P director 1800 M STREET NW SUITE 800 WASHINGTON DC 20036
Dewalt David G director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: DEWALT DAVID G a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Blake Francis S director 2455 PACES FERRY RD ATLANTA GA 30339
Easter William H Iii director 370 17TH ST STE 2500 DENVER CO 80202
Samant Rahul D officer: EVP & Chief Info Officer C/O DELTA AIR LINES, INC. P.O. BOX 20574, DEPT. 981 ATLANTA GA 30320
Buffett Warren E 10 percent owner 3555 FARNAM ST STE 1440 OMAHA NE 68131
Berkshire Hathaway Inc 10 percent owner 3555 FARNAM STREET OMAHA NE 68131
Carroll William C officer: SVP, Finance & Controller C/O DELTA AIR LINES, INC. P.O. BOX 20574, DEPT. 981 ATLANTA GA 30320

Delta Air Lines Headlines

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