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The Hershey Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $74.97 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2021-10-22), The Hershey Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $74.97. The stock price of The Hershey Co is $180.67. Therefore, The Hershey Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for The Hershey Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

NYSE:HSY' s Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.32   Med: 2.54   Max: 4.47
Current: 2.4

1.32
4.47

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of The Hershey Co was 4.47. The lowest was 1.32. And the median was 2.54.

NYSE:HSY's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF is ranked lower than
90% of the 126 Companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry.

( Industry Median: 1.09 vs. NYSE:HSY: 2.40 )

The Hershey Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for The Hershey Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

The Hershey Co Annual Data
Trend Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 36.18 39.38 47.18 54.91 65.95

The Hershey Co Quarterly Data
Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 55.20 61.59 65.95 71.53 74.97

Competitive Comparison

For the Confectioners subindustry, The Hershey Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

The Hershey Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Distribution

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, The Hershey Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Hershey Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF falls into.



The Hershey Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get The Hershey Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $1,152.63.

The Hershey Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun21)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(11.936106726364*1152.63104+2265.049*0.8)/207.671
=74.97

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


The Hershey Co  (NYSE:HSY) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

The Hershey Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=180.67/74.974196250609
=2.41

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


The Hershey Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of The Hershey Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


The Hershey Co Business Description

The Hershey Co logo
Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
19 East Chocolate Avenue, Hershey, PA, USA, 17033
Hershey is a leading confectionery manufacturer in the U.S. (nearly a $25 billion market), controlling around 46% of the domestic chocolate space (per IRI). Beyond its namesake label, the firm's mix has expanded over the last 85 years and now consists of 90 brands, including Reese's, Kit Kat, Kisses, and Ice Breakers. Hershey's products are sold in about 85 countries, with just 10% of total sales coming from markets outside the U.S., including Brazil, China, India, and Mexico. The firm has sought inorganic opportunities to extend its reach beyond its core confection business, adding Amplify Snack Brands and its Skinny Pop ready-to-eat popcorn to its mix and Pirate Brands (including the Pirate's Booty, Smart Puffs, and Original Tings brands) over the past few years.
Executives
Atkins Damien officer: SVP, GC and Secretary THE HERSHEY COMPANY 100 CRYSTAL A DRIVE HERSHEY PA 17033
Arway Pamela M director 601 HAWAII ST. EL SEGUNDO CA 90245
Katzman James C director 6000 N. HOMESTEAD LANE PARADISE VALLEY AZ 85253
Palmer Anthony J. director P.O. BOX 619100 DALLAS TX 75261-9100
Davis Charles A director 1 CAPE MAY ST 1 CAPE MAY ST HARRISON NJ 07029
Dutkowsky Robert M director JD EDWARDS & CO ONE TECHNOLOGY WAY DENVER CO 80237
Haben Mary Kay director C/O EQUITY RESIDENTIAL TWO NORTH RIVERSIDE PLAZA, SUITE 400 CHICAGO IL 60606
Brown James W director FRANKLIN SQUARE CAPITAL PARTNERS 201 ROUSE BLVD. PHILADELPHIA PA 19112
Schoppert Wendy Lee director 6105 TRENTON LANE NORTH MINNEAPOLIS MN 55442
Shedlarz David L director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: SHEDLARZ DAVID L a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Malcolm Robert director C/O LOGITECH INTERNATIONAL S.A. RUE DU SABLON 2-4 MORGES V8 1110
Perez Juan R. director 55 GLENLAKE PARKWAY, NE ATLANTA GA 30328
Koken Mary Diane director THE HERSHEY COMPANY 100 CRYSTAL A DRIVE HERSHEY PA 17033
Crawford Victor L. director C/O THE PEPSI BOTTLING GROUP, INC. ONE PEPSI WAY SOMERS NY 10589
Buck Michele director, officer: Chairman, President and CEO THE HERSHEY COMPANY 100 CRYSTAL A DRIVE HERSHEY PA 17033

The Hershey Co Headlines

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