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Invesco Mortgage Capital Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $14.47 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2021-10-16), Invesco Mortgage Capital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $14.47. The stock price of Invesco Mortgage Capital is $3.23. Therefore, Invesco Mortgage Capital's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.2.

The historical rank and industry rank for Invesco Mortgage Capital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

NYSE:IVR' s Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.12   Med: 0.35   Max: 0.5
Current: 0.22

0.12
0.5

During the past 12 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Invesco Mortgage Capital was 0.50. The lowest was 0.12. And the median was 0.35.

NYSE:IVR's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF is ranked lower than
99.99% of the 147 Companies
in the REITs industry.

( Industry Median: 0.83 vs. NYSE:IVR: 0.22 )

Invesco Mortgage Capital Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Invesco Mortgage Capital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Invesco Mortgage Capital Annual Data
Trend Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 29.24 47.58 46.92 38.44 20.74

Invesco Mortgage Capital Quarterly Data
Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 23.92 21.55 20.74 17.52 14.47

Competitive Comparison

For the REIT - Mortgage subindustry, Invesco Mortgage Capital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Invesco Mortgage Capital Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Distribution

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Invesco Mortgage Capital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Invesco Mortgage Capital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF falls into.



Invesco Mortgage Capital Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Invesco Mortgage Capital's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $279.86.

Invesco Mortgage Capital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun21)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*279.8592+1373.379*0.8)/260.140
=14.47

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Invesco Mortgage Capital  (NYSE:IVR) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Invesco Mortgage Capital's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=3.23/14.465523108193
=0.22

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Invesco Mortgage Capital Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Invesco Mortgage Capital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Invesco Mortgage Capital Business Description

Invesco Mortgage Capital logo
Industry
Real Estate » REITs NAICS : 531190 SIC : 6798
Address
1555 Peachtree Street, N.E., Suite 1800, Two Peachtree Pointe, Atlanta, GA, USA, 30309
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc is an REIT that invests, finances, and manages residential and commercial mortgage-backed securities and mortgage loans. The company's portfolio consists of residential mortgage-backed securities for which a U.S. government agency or a federally chartered corporation guarantees payment of principal and interest, or Agency RMBS; residential mortgage-backed securities that are not issued or guaranteed by an agency, or nonagency RMBS; commercial mortgage-backed securities, or CMBS; and residential and commercial mortgage loans. The asset manager for the company is Invesco Advisers, a subsidiary of Invesco.
Executives
Hardin Edward J director 5430 LBJ FREEWAY SUIT 1700 DALLAS TX 75240
Lockhart Dennis P director 100 GOLF ROAD GOLF IL 60029
Handlon Carolyn B director 1555 PEACHTREE ST. NE, SUITE 1800 ATLANTA GA 30309
Day John director 1520 OLD TROLLEY ROAD SUMMERVILLE SC 29485
Lientz James R Jr director GEORGIA POSER CO BIN 10240 241 RALPH MCGILL BLVD ATLANTA GA 30308
Starr Loren M director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: STARR LOREN M a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Lyle David B officer: Chief Operating Officer 1555 PEACHTREE ST. NE SUITE 1800 ATLANTA GA 30309
Collins Kevin M officer: President 1555 PEACHTREE STREET NE SUITE 1800 ATLANTA GA 30309
Clemente Mario other: Officer of Manager 1555 PEACHTREE STREET, NE, SUITE 1800 ATLANTA GA 30309
Norris Brian officer: CIO 1555 PEACHTREE STREET, NE, SUITE 1800 ATLANTA GA 30309
Phegley Richard Lee Jr. officer: Chief Financial Officer 1555 PEACHTREE ST. NE SUITE 1800 ATLANTA GA 30309
Anzalone John officer: CEO INVESCO LTD. 1555 PEACHTREE STREET NE ATLANTA GA 30309
Perlis Roseann officer: Chief Accounting Officer 1555 PEACHTREE ST. NE SUITE 1800 ATLANTA GA 30309
Morris Sheri officer: Chief Investment Officer INVESCO LTD., 1555 PEACHTREE STREET NE SUITE 100 ATLANTA GA 30309
Marshall Jason officer: Chief Investment Officer 1555 PEACHTREE STREET, NE, SUITE 1800 ATLANTA GA 30309

Invesco Mortgage Capital Headlines

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