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Sage Therapeutics (Sage Therapeutics) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $-29.93 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Sage Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-26), Sage Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-29.93. The stock price of Sage Therapeutics is $13.73. Therefore, Sage Therapeutics's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Sage Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 12 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Sage Therapeutics was 44.31. The lowest was 5.98. And the median was 8.08.

SAGE's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Biotechnology industry.
Industry Median: 2.31
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Sage Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Sage Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Sage Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Sage Therapeutics Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -21.91 14.47 0.96 -14.60 -29.31

Sage Therapeutics Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -19.21 -23.11 -27.26 -29.31 -29.93

Competitive Comparison of Sage Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Sage Therapeutics's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Sage Therapeutics's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Sage Therapeutics's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Sage Therapeutics's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Sage Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Sage Therapeutics's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-248.35.

Sage Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-248.34848+705.801*0.8)/60.136
=-29.93

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Sage Therapeutics  (NAS:SAGE) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Sage Therapeutics's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=13.73/-29.927564984759
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Sage Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Sage Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Sage Therapeutics (Sage Therapeutics) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
215 First Street, Cambridge, MA, USA, 02142
Sage Therapeutics Inc is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on brain health medicines. The company is targeting diseases and disorders of the brain with three key focus areas: depression, neurology and neuropsychiatry; also targeting two critical central nervous system, or CNS, receptor systems, GABA and NMDA. The GABA receptor family, which is recognized as the inhibitory neurotransmitter in the CNS, mediates downstream neurologic and bodily function via activation of GABAA receptors. The NMDA-type receptors of the glutamate receptor system are a excitatory receptor system in the CNS. Dysfunction in these systems is implicated in a broad range of CNS disorders.
Executives
Elizabeth Barrett director C/O SAGE THERAPEUTICS, INC., 215 FIRST STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Jessica Federer director C/O SAGE THERAPEUTICS, INC., 215 FIRST STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Jeffrey M Jonas director, officer: See Remarks ROBERTS SHERIDAN & KOTEL, 12 EAST 49TH STREET 30TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10017
Barry E Greene director C/O ACORDA THERAPEUTICS, 420 SAW MILL RIVER ROAD, ARDSLEY NY 10502
Laura Gault officer: Chief Medical Officer C/O SAGE THERAPEUTICS, INC., 245 FIRST STREET, SUITE 16, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
George Golumbeski director C/O CELGENE CORP., 86 MORRIS AVENUE, SUMMIT NJ 07901
Christopher Benecchi officer: Chief Commercial Officer C/O SAGE THERAPEUTICS, INC., 215 FIRST STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
James M Frates director 88 SIDNEY ST, CAMBRIDGE MA 021394136
Biogen Inc. 10 percent owner 225 BINNEY STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Biogen Ma Inc. 10 percent owner 225 BINNEY STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Albert Robichaud officer: Chief Scientific Officer 215 FIRST STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Michael Cloonan officer: Chief Business Officer C/O SAGE THERAPEUTICS, INC., 215 FIRST STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Anne Marie Cook officer: General Counsel 101 MAIN STREET, SUITE 1850, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Steven M Paul director C/O ELI LITTY & CO, LIIY CORPORATE CENTER DC 1093, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46285
Kimi Iguchi officer: See Remarks 100 FOXBOROUGH BOULEVARD, SUITE 240, FOXBOROUGH MA 02035

Sage Therapeutics (Sage Therapeutics) Headlines

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