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Netflix (NFLX) Peter Lynch Fair Value

: $223.63 (As of Today)
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Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Here, as of today, Netflix's PEG is 1. Netflix's 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is 18.62. Netflix's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023 was $12.01. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is $223.63.

As of today (2024-04-19), Netflix's share price is $555.32. Netflix's Peter Lynch fair value is $223.63. Therefore, Netflix's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is 2.48.


The historical rank and industry rank for Netflix's Peter Lynch Fair Value or its related term are showing as below:

NFLX' s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.19   Med: 3.63   Max: 18.3
Current: 2.48


During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio of Netflix was 18.30. The lowest was 1.19. And the median was 3.63.


NFLX's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is ranked worse than
86.16% of 159 companies
in the Media - Diversified industry
Industry Median: 1.01 vs NFLX: 2.48

Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.


Netflix Peter Lynch Fair Value Historical Data

The historical data trend for Netflix's Peter Lynch Fair Value can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Netflix Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Peter Lynch Fair Value
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 103.25 152.25 281.00 247.06 223.63

Netflix Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Peter Lynch Fair Value Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 247.06 215.95 202.82 200.50 223.63

Competitive Comparison

For the Entertainment subindustry, Netflix's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Netflix Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Distribution

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, Netflix's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Netflix's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value falls into.



Netflix Peter Lynch Fair Value Calculation

Netflix's Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is calculated as

Peter Lynch Fair Value=PEG Ratio*5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate***EPS without NRI (TTM)
=1* 18.62 *12.01
=223.63

Netflix's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023 adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months, which was $12.01.


* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

** Please be aware that the 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated based on TTM data over the last 5 years. For quarterly reported companies, the TTM data adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months. For companies that report semi-annually, annually, or do not have enough quarterly data, GuruFocus uses the annual data as the TTM data.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.


Netflix  (NAS:NFLX) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.

Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.

Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA per share over the past 5 years, which is 18.62 instead of 15 in this case.

Netflix's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value=Share Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value
=555.32/223.63
=2.48

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Netflix Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Netflix's Peter Lynch Fair Value provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Netflix (NFLX) Business Description

Address
121 Albright Way, Los Gatos, CA, USA, 95032
Netflix's relatively simple business model involves only one business, its streaming service. It has the biggest television entertainment subscriber base in both the United States and the collective international market, with almost 250 million subscribers globally. Netflix has exposure to nearly the entire global population outside of China. The firm has traditionally avoided live programming or sports content, instead focusing on on-demand access to episodic television, movies, and documentaries. The firm recently began introducing ad-supported subscription plans, giving the firm exposure to the advertising market in addition to the subscription fees that have historically accounted for nearly all its revenue.
Executives
Reed Hastings director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO, other: CEO 121 ALBRIGHT WAY, LOS GATOS CA 95032
Ann Mather director
Gregory K Peters officer: Intl. Development Officer C/O NETFLIX, INC., 121 ALBRIGHT WAY, LOS GATOS CA 95032
Richard N Barton director C/O IAC, 152 WEST 57TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10019
David A Hyman officer: General Counsel C/O NETFLIX, INC., 121 ALBRIGHT WAY, LOS GATOS CA 95032
Theodore A Sarandos officer: Chief Content Officer C/O NETFLIX, INC, 121 ALBRIGHT WAY, LOS GATOS CA 95032
Jay C Hoag director 250 MIDDLEFIELD ROAD, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Timothy M Haley director 3000 SAND HILL ROAD, 2-290, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Jeffrey William Karbowski officer: Chief Accounting Officer 121 ALBRIGHT WAY, LOS GATOS CA 95032
Kenneth A Barker officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O ELECTRONIC ARTS INC., 209 REDWOOD SHORES PARKWAY, REDWOOD CITY CA 94065
Dicus Marian Lee officer: Chief Marketing Officer 526 WEST 111TH STREET, APARTMENT 3C, NEW YORK NY 10025
Meabe Sergio Ezama officer: Chief Talent Officer 59 HILLSIDE ROAD, GREENWICH CT 06830
Jessica Neal officer: Chief Talent Officer 100 WINCHESTER CIRCLE, LOS GATOS CA 95032
Strive Masiyiwa director 265 FRANKLIN STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
John Bozoma Saint officer: Chief Marketing Officer 9255 SUNSET BLVD 2ND FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90069

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