Air Lease (FRA:AVLA) Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based): -34.68% (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


FRA:AVLA Air Lease Corp FRA:AVLA
64 GF Score
Price €55.50
GF Value €45.29
! 11 Warning Signs
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What is Air Lease Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)?

Air Lease FRA:AVLA 64 Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is -34.68% as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:AVLA with a GF Score™ of 64/100 and a GF Value™ of €45.29. The stock has 11 warning signs investors should review.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) - Current Price) / Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based).

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

As of today (2026-06-24), Air Lease's Predictability Rank is 4.5-Stars. Air Lease's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is €41.21 and current share price is €55.50. Consequently,

Air Lease's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model is -34.68%.

FRA:AVLA vs R, UHAL, GATX: Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) Comparison

For the Rental & Leasing Services subindustry, Air Lease's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Air Lease Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) vs Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Air Lease's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Air Lease's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) falls into.


FRA:AVLA
64GF Score
Air Lease Corp FRA:AVLA
Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Air Lease Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) Calculation

Air Lease's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) for today is calculated as

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(41.21-55.50)/41.21
=-34.68 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The intrinsic value is calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow.

What does a Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) of -34.68% mean?
Air Lease (FRA:AVLA) has a Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) of -34.68% as of Jun. 24, 2026. Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF Earnings price. View historical data on Air Lease.
Is Air Lease's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) too high?
Air Lease's current Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is -34.68%. Overall, Air Lease has a GF Score™ of 64/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Air Lease's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) compare to R and UHAL?
Air Lease's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) of -34.68% can be compared against companies in the Business Services industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) for a Business Services company?
A good Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) depends on the Business Services industry context. However, Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) mean?
A high Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF Earnings price. View historical data on Air Lease. Air Lease's current Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is -34.68%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Air Lease stock overvalued right now?
Air Lease (FRA:AVLA) has a current Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) of -34.68%. The stock's GF Value™ is €45.29, compared to a current price of €55.50 — trading 22.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is -34.68%. Air Lease's overall GF Score™ is 64/100 with 11 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) calculated?
Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Air Lease (FRA:AVLA), the current Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is -34.68% as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Air Lease (FRA:AVLA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Air Lease stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €55.50 is trading 22.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of €45.29.

Key valuation signals for FRA:AVLA:

  • Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based): -34.68%
  • GF Value™: €45.29 vs. price of €55.50 (22.5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 64/100 with 11 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:AVLA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Air Lease Business Description

Address 2000 Avenue of the Stars, Suite 1000N, Los Angeles, CA, USA, 90067
Air Lease Corp is an aircraft leasing company based in the United States. It is engaged in the modern, fuel-efficient new technology commercial jet aircraft directly from aircraft manufacturers and leasing those aircraft to airlines throughout the world to generate attractive returns on equity. The company also sells aircraft from its fleet to third parties, including other leasing companies, financial services companies, airlines, and other investors, and offers fleet management services to investors and owners of aircraft portfolios for a management fee. Geographically, it derives a maximum of its revenue from the Europe and the rest from Asia Pacific, Middle East and Africa, Central America, South America, Mexico, the United States, and Canada.
64GF Score

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Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€55.50
Price
€45.29
GF Value