Air Lease (FRA:AVLA) Risk Assessment

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

FRA:AVLA Air Lease Corp FRA:AVLA
64 GF Score
Price €55.50
GF Value €45.29
! 11 Warning Signs
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What is Air Lease Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of Air Lease is: No Data: Cannot be evaluated.

Air Lease  (FRA:AVLA) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

Air Lease Risk Assessment Related Terms

FRA:AVLA vs R, UHAL, GATX: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Rental & Leasing Services subindustry, Air Lease's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Air Lease Risk Assessment vs Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Air Lease's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Air Lease's Risk Assessment falls into.


FRA:AVLA
64GF Score
Air Lease Corp FRA:AVLA
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Is Air Lease (FRA:AVLA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Air Lease stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €55.50 is trading 22.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of €45.29.

Key valuation signals for FRA:AVLA:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: €45.29 vs. price of €55.50 (22.5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 64/100 with 11 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:AVLA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Air Lease Business Description

Address 2000 Avenue of the Stars, Suite 1000N, Los Angeles, CA, USA, 90067
Air Lease Corp is an aircraft leasing company based in the United States. It is engaged in the modern, fuel-efficient new technology commercial jet aircraft directly from aircraft manufacturers and leasing those aircraft to airlines throughout the world to generate attractive returns on equity. The company also sells aircraft from its fleet to third parties, including other leasing companies, financial services companies, airlines, and other investors, and offers fleet management services to investors and owners of aircraft portfolios for a management fee. Geographically, it derives a maximum of its revenue from the Europe and the rest from Asia Pacific, Middle East and Africa, Central America, South America, Mexico, the United States, and Canada.
64GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:AVLA

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€55.50
Price
€45.29
GF Value