MUSA (Murphy USA) Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based): 43.46% (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


MUSA Murphy USA Inc MUSA
83 GF Score
Price $524.87
GF Value $456.49
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Murphy USA Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)?

Murphy USA MUSA -1.17% 83 Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is 43.46% as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates MUSA with a GF Score™ of 83/100 and a GF Value™ of $456.49 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) - Current Price) / Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based).

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

As of today (2026-06-25), Murphy USA's Predictability Rank is 4-Stars. Murphy USA's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $928.38 and current share price is $524.8675. Consequently,

Murphy USA's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model is 43.46%.

MUSA vs GME, FIVE, BBWI: Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) Comparison

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Murphy USA's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Murphy USA Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) vs Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Murphy USA's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Murphy USA's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) falls into.


MUSA
83GF Score
Murphy USA Inc MUSA
Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Murphy USA Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) Calculation

Murphy USA's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) for today is calculated as

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(928.38-524.8675)/928.38
=43.46 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The intrinsic value is calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow.

What does a Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) of 43.46% mean?
Murphy USA (MUSA) has a Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) of 43.46% as of Jun. 25, 2026. Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF Earnings price. View historical data on Murphy USA.
Is Murphy USA's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) too high?
Murphy USA's current Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is 43.46%. Overall, Murphy USA has a GF Score™ of 83/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Murphy USA's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) compare to GME and FIVE?
Murphy USA's Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) of 43.46% can be compared against companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) for a Retail - Cyclical company?
A good Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) depends on the Retail - Cyclical industry context. However, Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) mean?
A high Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF Earnings price. View historical data on Murphy USA. Murphy USA's current Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is 43.46%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Murphy USA stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Murphy USA (MUSA) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $456.49, compared to a current price of $524.87 — trading 15% above its estimated fair value. The current Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is 43.46%. Murphy USA's overall GF Score™ is 83/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) calculated?
Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Murphy USA (MUSA), the current Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is 43.46% as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Murphy USA (MUSA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Murphy USA stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $524.87 is trading 15% above its estimated GF Value™ of $456.49. GuruFocus considers Murphy USA to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MUSA:

  • Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based): 43.46%
  • GF Value™: $456.49 vs. price of $524.87 (15% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 83/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MUSA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Murphy USA Business Description

Other Exchanges MUSA1:Mexico
Address 200 Peach Street, El Dorado, AR, USA, 71730-5836
Murphy USA Inc is mainly engaged in the marketing of retail motor fuel products and convenience merchandise through a network of several retail stores in the Southwest, Southeast, Midwest, and Northeast United States. The majority of Murphy USA's stores are located in proximity to Walmart Supercenters, but it also operates standalone stores that market gasoline and other products under the Murphy USA, Murphy Express, and QuickChek brands. In addition, the company also markets fuel to unbranded wholesale customers through a mixture of company-owned and third-party product distribution terminals and pipeline positions. The firm generates maximum revenue through retail sales of petroleum products, and the rest from merchandise sales and wholesale of petroleum products.
83GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MUSA

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$524.87
Price
$456.49
GF Value