Nick Scali (ASX:NCK) Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based): 64.04% (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


ASX:NCK Nick Scali Ltd ASX:NCK
90 GF Score
Price A$15.99
GF Value A$16.45
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Nick Scali Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based)?

Nick Scali ASX:NCK +0.57% 90 Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 64.04% as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates ASX:NCK with a GF Score™ of 90/100 and a GF Value™ of A$16.45 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review.

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) - Current Price) / Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based).

Note: Discounted FCF model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

As of today (2026-06-25), Nick Scali's Predictability Rank is 4-Stars. Nick Scali's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted FCF model is A$17.70 and current share price is A$15.99. Consequently,

Nick Scali's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) using Discounted FCF model is 64.04%.

ASX:NCK vs CASY, WSM, ULTA: Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) Comparison

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Nick Scali's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Nick Scali Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) vs Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Nick Scali's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Nick Scali's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) falls into.


ASX:NCK
90GF Score
Nick Scali Ltd ASX:NCK
Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Nick Scali Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) Calculation

Nick Scali's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(44.47-15.99)/44.47
=64.04 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The intrinsic value is calculated from the Discounted FCF model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Earnings model except free cash flow are used in the calculation instead of earnings per share.

What does a Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of 64.04% mean?
Nick Scali (ASX:NCK) has a Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of 64.04% as of Jun. 25, 2026. Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF FCF price. View historical data on Nick Scali.
Is Nick Scali's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) too high?
Nick Scali's current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 64.04%. Overall, Nick Scali has a GF Score™ of 90/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Nick Scali's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) compare to CASY and WSM?
Nick Scali's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of 64.04% can be compared against companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) for a Retail - Cyclical company?
A good Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) depends on the Retail - Cyclical industry context. However, Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) mean?
A high Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF FCF price. View historical data on Nick Scali. Nick Scali's current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 64.04%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Nick Scali stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Nick Scali (ASX:NCK) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is A$16.45, compared to a current price of A$15.99 — trading 2.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 64.04%. Nick Scali's overall GF Score™ is 90/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) calculated?
Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Nick Scali (ASX:NCK), the current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 64.04% as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Nick Scali (ASX:NCK) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Nick Scali stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of A$15.99 is trading 2.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of A$16.45. GuruFocus considers Nick Scali to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for ASX:NCK:

  • Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based): 64.04%
  • GF Value™: A$16.45 vs. price of A$15.99 (2.8% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 90/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:NCK stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Nick Scali Business Description

Address 39 Delhi Road, Level 7, Triniti II, North Ryde, Sydney, NSW, AUS, 2113
Nick Scali Ltd engages in the sourcing and retailing of household furniture and related accessories in Australia and New Zealand. It offers products of Sofas & Armchairs, Living Room, Dining Room, Bedroom, and Rugs & Accessories. The Company has two reportable segments, being the retailing of furniture in Australia and New Zealand, as well as the United Kingdom.
90GF Score

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Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

A$15.99
Price
A$16.45
GF Value