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Agthia Group PJSC (ADX:AGTHIA) Beneish M-Score : -2.36 (As of Jun. 27, 2025)


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What is Agthia Group PJSC Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.36 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Agthia Group PJSC's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ADX:AGTHIA' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.11   Med: -2.38   Max: -1.62
Current: -2.36

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Agthia Group PJSC was -1.62. The lowest was -3.11. And the median was -2.38.


Agthia Group PJSC Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Agthia Group PJSC's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Agthia Group PJSC Beneish M-Score Chart

Agthia Group PJSC Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.99 -1.62 -2.32 -3.01 -2.68

Agthia Group PJSC Quarterly Data
Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.99 -3.01 -2.91 -2.68 -2.36

Competitive Comparison of Agthia Group PJSC's Beneish M-Score

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Agthia Group PJSC's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Agthia Group PJSC's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Agthia Group PJSC's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Agthia Group PJSC's Beneish M-Score falls into.


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Agthia Group PJSC Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Agthia Group PJSC for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0571+0.528 * 1.0037+0.404 * 1.0177+0.892 * 0.9836+0.115 * 1.3087
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.7875+4.679 * 0.003561-0.327 * 1.0391
=-2.36

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar25) TTM:Last Year (Mar24) TTM:
Total Receivables was د.إ964 Mil.
Revenue was 1283.827 + 1307.089 + 1081.625 + 1076.581 = د.إ4,749 Mil.
Gross Profit was 361.735 + 386.38 + 334.304 + 328.924 = د.إ1,411 Mil.
Total Current Assets was د.إ2,318 Mil.
Total Assets was د.إ6,266 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was د.إ1,526 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was د.إ166 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was د.إ285 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was د.إ1,558 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was د.إ1,588 Mil.
Net Income was 81.573 + 61.132 + 58.687 + 55.59 = د.إ257 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = د.إ0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -291.015 + 125.879 + 289.932 + 109.87 = د.إ235 Mil.
Total Receivables was د.إ927 Mil.
Revenue was 1449.349 + 1290.246 + 1069.631 + 1018.976 = د.إ4,828 Mil.
Gross Profit was 416.607 + 398.025 + 338.996 + 286.5 = د.إ1,440 Mil.
Total Current Assets was د.إ2,455 Mil.
Total Assets was د.إ6,410 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was د.إ1,520 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was د.إ224 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was د.إ368 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was د.إ1,781 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was د.إ1,316 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(964.226 / 4749.122) / (927.31 / 4828.202)
=0.203032 / 0.192061
=1.0571

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1440.128 / 4828.202) / (1411.343 / 4749.122)
=0.298274 / 0.29718
=1.0037

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2317.962 + 1526.1) / 6266.467) / (1 - (2454.901 + 1520.391) / 6410.183)
=0.386566 / 0.379847
=1.0177

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=4749.122 / 4828.202
=0.9836

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(224.33 / (224.33 + 1520.391)) / (166.269 / (166.269 + 1526.1))
=0.128576 / 0.098246
=1.3087

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(284.894 / 4749.122) / (367.786 / 4828.202)
=0.059989 / 0.076175
=0.7875

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1587.985 + 1557.725) / 6266.467) / ((1315.523 + 1781.215) / 6410.183)
=0.501991 / 0.483097
=1.0391

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(256.982 - 0 - 234.666) / 6266.467
=0.003561

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Agthia Group PJSC has a M-score of -2.36 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Agthia Group PJSC Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Agthia Group PJSC Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Al Reem Island, P.O. Box 37725, Sky Towers, 17th Floor, Abu Dhabi, ARE
Agthia Group PJSC is a food and beverage company that sells its products to customers across the UAE, GCC, Turkey, and the wider Middle East. Its product portfolio is categorized into segments, including flour and animal feed, water and beverages, processed fruits and vegetables, and dairy and frozen baked products. The company operates through two reportable segments: Agribusiness, which includes the manufacturing and distribution of flour and animal feed; and Consumer business, which operates in the food and beverage sector and provides products including bottled drinking water, juices, sauces, confectionery, and dairy products, among others. A majority of its revenue is generated from the Consumer business.

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