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Amcor (AMCCF) Beneish M-Score : -2.66 (As of Mar. 23, 2025)


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What is Amcor Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.66 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Amcor's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

AMCCF' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.8   Med: -2.55   Max: 0.54
Current: -2.66

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Amcor was 0.54. The lowest was -2.80. And the median was -2.55.


Amcor Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Amcor's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Amcor Beneish M-Score Chart

Amcor Annual Data
Trend Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.53 -2.48 -2.55 -2.54 -2.68

Amcor Quarterly Data
Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.70 -2.70 -2.68 -2.58 -2.66

Competitive Comparison of Amcor's Beneish M-Score

For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, Amcor's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Amcor's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Packaging & Containers Industry

For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Amcor's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Amcor's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Amcor Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Amcor for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0109+0.528 * 0.9401+0.404 * 0.9932+0.892 * 0.9648+0.115 * 1.0019
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0548+4.679 * -0.022951-0.327 * 1.0092
=-2.66

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec24) TTM:Last Year (Dec23) TTM:
Total Receivables was $1,775 Mil.
Revenue was 3241 + 3353 + 3535 + 3411 = $13,540 Mil.
Gross Profit was 626 + 659 + 754 + 692 = $2,731 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $4,905 Mil.
Total Assets was $16,165 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $4,166 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $567 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,269 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $3,897 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $7,295 Mil.
Net Income was 163 + 191 + 257 + 187 = $798 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -34 + -7 + -14 + -28 = $-83 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 428 + -269 + 943 + 150 = $1,252 Mil.
Total Receivables was $1,820 Mil.
Revenue was 3251 + 3443 + 3673 + 3667 = $14,034 Mil.
Gross Profit was 621 + 645 + 722 + 673 = $2,661 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $4,959 Mil.
Total Assets was $16,727 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $4,377 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $597 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,247 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $3,970 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $7,506 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1775 / 13540) / (1820 / 14034)
=0.131093 / 0.129685
=1.0109

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2661 / 14034) / (2731 / 13540)
=0.189611 / 0.201699
=0.9401

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (4905 + 4166) / 16165) / (1 - (4959 + 4377) / 16727)
=0.438849 / 0.44186
=0.9932

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=13540 / 14034
=0.9648

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(597 / (597 + 4377)) / (567 / (567 + 4166))
=0.120024 / 0.119797
=1.0019

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1269 / 13540) / (1247 / 14034)
=0.093722 / 0.088856
=1.0548

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((7295 + 3897) / 16165) / ((7506 + 3970) / 16727)
=0.69236 / 0.686076
=1.0092

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(798 - -83 - 1252) / 16165
=-0.022951

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Amcor has a M-score of -2.66 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Amcor Business Description

Address
83 Tower Road North, Warmley, Bristol, GBR, BS30 8XP
Amcor is a global producer of plastic packaging primarily for the fast-moving consumer goods industry. About 90% of earnings are exposed to the flexible packaging business. This is soft disposable plastic for a variety of food, drink, healthcare, and hygiene products. The remainder of earnings are from the Latin and North American rigids business, which is primarily beverage bottling for the soft drink industry. Operating in more than 35 countries, Amcor has market share in its established regions of North America, Latin America, Europe, and Asia-Pacific. About half of group sales are derived from North America and the remainder is split equally between Western Europe and emerging markets. Australia and New Zealand sales make up less than 5% of group sales.