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Flight Centre Travel Group (ASX:FLT) Beneish M-Score : -2.72 (As of Apr. 06, 2025)


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What is Flight Centre Travel Group Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.72 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Flight Centre Travel Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:FLT' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.78   Med: -2.52   Max: -0.01
Current: -2.72

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Flight Centre Travel Group was -0.01. The lowest was -3.78. And the median was -2.52.


Flight Centre Travel Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Flight Centre Travel Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Flight Centre Travel Group Beneish M-Score Chart

Flight Centre Travel Group Annual Data
Trend Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.78 -0.01 -1.39 -1.84 -2.72

Flight Centre Travel Group Semi-Annual Data
Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -1.84 - -2.72 -

Competitive Comparison of Flight Centre Travel Group's Beneish M-Score

For the Travel Services subindustry, Flight Centre Travel Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Flight Centre Travel Group's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Flight Centre Travel Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Flight Centre Travel Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.


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Flight Centre Travel Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Flight Centre Travel Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8924+0.528 * 1.0124+0.404 * 0.9969+0.892 * 1.1885+0.115 * 0.9317
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9313+4.679 * -0.071558-0.327 * 0.9644
=-2.72

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun24) TTM:Last Year (Jun23) TTM:
Total Receivables was A$885 Mil.
Revenue was A$2,711 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$2,561 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$2,483 Mil.
Total Assets was A$4,214 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$264 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$159 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$1,642 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$2,297 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$615 Mil.
Net Income was A$140 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$20 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was A$421 Mil.
Total Receivables was A$835 Mil.
Revenue was A$2,281 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$2,181 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$2,630 Mil.
Total Assets was A$4,446 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$263 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$142 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$1,484 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$1,967 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$1,219 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(885.348 / 2710.748) / (834.765 / 2280.782)
=0.326607 / 0.365999
=0.8924

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2181.285 / 2280.782) / (2560.681 / 2710.748)
=0.956376 / 0.94464
=1.0124

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2482.593 + 264.071) / 4214.281) / (1 - (2630.04 + 263.184) / 4446.494)
=0.348248 / 0.349325
=0.9969

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2710.748 / 2280.782
=1.1885

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(142.093 / (142.093 + 263.184)) / (159.326 / (159.326 + 264.071))
=0.350607 / 0.376304
=0.9317

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1642.464 / 2710.748) / (1483.944 / 2280.782)
=0.605908 / 0.650629
=0.9313

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((615.373 + 2297.3) / 4214.281) / ((1219.387 + 1967.289) / 4446.494)
=0.691144 / 0.716672
=0.9644

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(139.638 - 19.723 - 421.48) / 4214.281
=-0.071558

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Flight Centre Travel Group has a M-score of -2.72 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Flight Centre Travel Group Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Flight Centre Travel Group Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
275 Grey Street, South Brisbane, Brisbane, QLD, AUS, 4101
Flight Centre Travel is one of the largest travel agencies in the world. The group generates just over 50% of its total transaction value, or TTV, from the corporate market, just under 50% from the leisure market, and the rest from ancillary travel-related businesses. In corporate travel, Flight Centre is a global Top 4 operator operating in over 100 countries, with different brands catering to various customer segments (small and midsize businesses to large enterprises). In leisure, Flight Centre operates a network of over 550 shops generating 70% of the leisure TTV, online channels generating just under 20%, and the rest from independent agents. Over half of group TTV is generated in Australia and New Zealand, 20% from Americas, just under 20% from Europe, and the rest from Asia.

Flight Centre Travel Group Headlines

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