Simonds Group (ASX:SIO) Beneish M-Score: -2.56 (As of Jun. 28, 2026)


ASX:SIO Simonds Group Ltd ASX:SIO
48 GF Score
Price A$0.15
GF Value A$0.14
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Simonds Group Beneish M-Score?

Simonds Group ASX:SIO 48 Beneish M-Score is -2.56 as of Jun. 28, 2026. GuruFocus rates ASX:SIO with a GF Score™ of 48/100 and a GF Value™ of A$0.14 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 89 Homebuilding & Construction companies, Simonds Group ranks better than 78.65% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.56 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Simonds Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:SIO' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.54   Med: -2.61   Max: -2.22
Current: -2.56

During the past 11 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Simonds Group was -2.22. The lowest was -3.54. And the median was -2.61.


Simonds Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Simonds Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Simonds Group Beneish M-Score Chart

Simonds Group Annual Data
Trend Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.69 -2.55 -2.61 -2.22 -2.56

Simonds Group Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -2.22 0.00 -2.56 0.00

ASX:SIO vs DHI, PHM, LEN: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Residential Construction subindustry, Simonds Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Simonds Group Beneish M-Score vs Homebuilding & Construction Industry

For the Homebuilding & Construction industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Simonds Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Simonds Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.


ASX:SIO
48GF Score
Simonds Group Ltd ASX:SIO
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Simonds Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Simonds Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8481+0.528 * 0.9369+0.404 * 3.8094+0.892 * 1.0033+0.115 * 0.9538
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0237+4.679 * -0.224092-0.327 * 0.9707
=-2.56

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun25) TTM:Last Year (Jun24) TTM:
Total Receivables was A$46.1 Mil.
Revenue was A$665.6 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$148.2 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$132.1 Mil.
Total Assets was A$171.2 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$18.3 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$19.7 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$118.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$133.8 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$5.2 Mil.
Net Income was A$1.0 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was A$39.4 Mil.
Total Receivables was A$54.2 Mil.
Revenue was A$663.5 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$138.4 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$136.2 Mil.
Total Assets was A$158.3 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$17.0 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$16.7 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$114.9 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$128.0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$4.5 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(46.078 / 665.637) / (54.156 / 663.48)
=0.069224 / 0.081624
=0.8481

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(138.41 / 663.48) / (148.207 / 665.637)
=0.208612 / 0.222654
=0.9369

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (132.149 + 18.273) / 171.171) / (1 - (136.241 + 17.015) / 158.293)
=0.121218 / 0.031821
=3.8094

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=665.637 / 663.48
=1.0033

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(16.672 / (16.672 + 17.015)) / (19.706 / (19.706 + 18.273))
=0.494909 / 0.518866
=0.9538

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(117.993 / 665.637) / (114.887 / 663.48)
=0.177263 / 0.173158
=1.0237

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((5.241 + 133.8) / 171.171) / ((4.455 + 128.006) / 158.293)
=0.812293 / 0.836809
=0.9707

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1.015 - 0.009 - 39.364) / 171.171
=-0.224092

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Simonds Group has a M-score of -2.56 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.56 mean?
Simonds Group (ASX:SIO) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.56 as of Jun. 28, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Simonds Group and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Simonds Group ranks #19 out of 89 companies in the Homebuilding & Construction industry, placing it in the top 21.3%.
Is Simonds Group's Beneish M-Score too high?
Simonds Group's current Beneish M-Score is -2.56. Based on the distribution chart, Simonds Group ranks #19 out of 89 companies in the Homebuilding & Construction industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Simonds Group has a GF Score™ of 48/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Simonds Group's Beneish M-Score compare to DHI and PHM?
According to the Homebuilding & Construction industry distribution chart, Simonds Group ranks #19 out of 89 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Simonds Group in the top 21% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Homebuilding & Construction company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Homebuilding & Construction industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Simonds Group and its competitors. Simonds Group's current Beneish M-Score is -2.56. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Simonds Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Simonds Group (ASX:SIO) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is A$0.14, compared to a current price of A$0.15 — trading 7.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.56. Simonds Group's overall GF Score™ is 48/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Simonds Group (ASX:SIO), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.56 as of Jun. 28, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Simonds Group (ASX:SIO) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Simonds Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of A$0.15 is trading 7.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of A$0.14. GuruFocus considers Simonds Group to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for ASX:SIO:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.56
  • GF Value™: A$0.14 vs. price of A$0.15 (7.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 48/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:SIO stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Simonds Group Business Description

Address 570 Saint Kilda Road, Level 4, Melbourne, VIC, AUS, 3004
Simonds Group Ltd is engaged in the design and construction of residential dwellings. Its operating segment includes Residential construction and Land development. The company generates maximum revenue from the Residential construction segment. Its Residential construction segment includes activities relating to contracts for residential home construction, speculative home building, and the building of display home inventory. Geographically, it operates only in Australia.
48GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ASX:SIO

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

A$0.15
Price
A$0.14
GF Value