Chai Watana Tannery Group PCL (BKK:CWT) Beneish M-Score: -2.40 (As of Jul. 15, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

BKK:CWT Chai Watana Tannery Group PCL BKK:CWT
35 GF Score
Price ฿0.96
GF Value ฿0.88
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Chai Watana Tannery Group PCL Beneish M-Score?

Chai Watana Tannery Group PCL BKK:CWT +1.05% 35 Beneish M-Score is -2.40 as of Jul. 15, 2026. GuruFocus rates BKK:CWT with a GF Score™ of 35/100 and a GF Value™ of ฿0.88 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 541 Conglomerates companies, Chai Watana Tannery Group PCL ranks worse than 61% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.4 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Chai Watana Tannery Group PCL's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BKK:CWT' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.62   Med: -2.59   Max: -1.05
Current: -2.4

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Chai Watana Tannery Group PCL was -1.05. The lowest was -3.62. And the median was -2.59.


Chai Watana Tannery Group PCL Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Chai Watana Tannery Group PCL's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Chai Watana Tannery Group PCL Beneish M-Score Chart

Chai Watana Tannery Group PCL Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.13 -2.41 -1.05 -3.01 -2.64

Chai Watana Tannery Group PCL Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.78 -2.70 -2.64 -2.64 -2.40

BKK:CWT vs ORLY, AZO: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Conglomerates subindustry, Chai Watana Tannery Group PCL's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Chai Watana Tannery Group PCL Beneish M-Score vs Conglomerates Industry

For the Conglomerates industry and Industrials sector, Chai Watana Tannery Group PCL's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Chai Watana Tannery Group PCL's Beneish M-Score falls into.


BKK:CWT
35GF Score
Chai Watana Tannery Group PCL BKK:CWT
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Chai Watana Tannery Group PCL Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Chai Watana Tannery Group PCL for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1351+0.528 * 1.6408+0.404 * 0.8625+0.892 * 0.8622+0.115 * 1.0481
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0416+4.679 * -0.039318-0.327 * 1.0431
=-2.40

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was ฿218 Mil.
Revenue was 330.836 + 322.735 + 327.842 + 346.936 = ฿1,328 Mil.
Gross Profit was 27.356 + 25.409 + 54.462 + 71.605 = ฿179 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ฿635 Mil.
Total Assets was ฿3,543 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ฿2,440 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ฿175 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ฿242 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ฿989 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ฿595 Mil.
Net Income was -38.08 + -65.348 + -22.418 + 92.193 = ฿-34 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 6.52 + -27.774 + 10.177 + 88.682 = ฿78 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -4.177 + 15.203 + -3.95 + 20.953 = ฿28 Mil.
Total Receivables was ฿223 Mil.
Revenue was 377.727 + 387.293 + 416.903 + 358.749 = ฿1,541 Mil.
Gross Profit was 86.881 + 81.317 + 101.447 + 70.674 = ฿340 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ฿672 Mil.
Total Assets was ฿3,369 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ฿2,182 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ฿164 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ฿269 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ฿929 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ฿515 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(218.139 / 1328.349) / (222.884 / 1540.672)
=0.164218 / 0.144667
=1.1351

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(340.319 / 1540.672) / (178.832 / 1328.349)
=0.22089 / 0.134627
=1.6408

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (635.17 + 2439.975) / 3542.549) / (1 - (672.241 + 2181.75) / 3369.396)
=0.13194 / 0.152967
=0.8625

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1328.349 / 1540.672
=0.8622

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(164.315 / (164.315 + 2181.75)) / (174.727 / (174.727 + 2439.975))
=0.070039 / 0.066825
=1.0481

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(241.876 / 1328.349) / (269.333 / 1540.672)
=0.182088 / 0.174815
=1.0416

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((595.479 + 988.719) / 3542.549) / ((515.157 + 929.35) / 3369.396)
=0.447192 / 0.428714
=1.0431

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-33.653 - 77.605 - 28.029) / 3542.549
=-0.039318

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Chai Watana Tannery Group PCL has a M-score of -2.40 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.40 mean?
Chai Watana Tannery Group PCL (BKK:CWT) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.40 as of Jul. 15, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Chai Watana Tannery Group PCL and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Chai Watana Tannery Group PCL ranks #330 out of 541 companies in the Conglomerates industry, placing it in the top 61%.
Is Chai Watana Tannery Group PCL's Beneish M-Score too high?
Chai Watana Tannery Group PCL's current Beneish M-Score is -2.40. Based on the distribution chart, Chai Watana Tannery Group PCL ranks #330 out of 541 companies in the Conglomerates industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Chai Watana Tannery Group PCL has a GF Score™ of 35/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Chai Watana Tannery Group PCL's Beneish M-Score compare to ORLY and AZO?
According to the Conglomerates industry distribution chart, Chai Watana Tannery Group PCL ranks #330 out of 541 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Chai Watana Tannery Group PCL in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Conglomerates company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Conglomerates industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Chai Watana Tannery Group PCL and its competitors. Chai Watana Tannery Group PCL's current Beneish M-Score is -2.40. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Chai Watana Tannery Group PCL stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Chai Watana Tannery Group PCL (BKK:CWT) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is ฿0.88, compared to a current price of ฿0.96 — trading 9.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.40. Chai Watana Tannery Group PCL's overall GF Score™ is 35/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Chai Watana Tannery Group PCL (BKK:CWT), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.40 as of Jul. 15, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Chai Watana Tannery Group PCL (BKK:CWT) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Chai Watana Tannery Group PCL stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ฿0.96 is trading 9.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of ฿0.88. GuruFocus considers Chai Watana Tannery Group PCL to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for BKK:CWT:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.40
  • GF Value™: ฿0.88 vs. price of ฿0.96 (9.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 35/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BKK:CWT stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Chai Watana Tannery Group PCL Business Description

Address Sukhumvit Road, 176/1, 1480 Moo 1 Tannery Industrial District (K.M. 30), Thambon Thaiban, Amphur Maung, Samudprakarn, THA, 10280
Chai Watana Tannery Group PCL is a Thailand-based company engaged in diversified operations. The group operates through six reportable segments: Tannery Hide, Automotive Leather Cutting, Dog Chewable Toys, Furniture, Renewable Energy, and Design and Distribution of Aluminum Boats and Mini Buses. It generates the majority of its revenue from the Automotive Leather Cutting segment.
35GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BKK:CWT

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

฿0.96
Price
฿0.88
GF Value