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Noble Development PCL (BKK:NOBLE) Beneish M-Score : -2.34 (As of Apr. 08, 2025)


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What is Noble Development PCL Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.34 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Noble Development PCL's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BKK:NOBLE' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.75   Med: -1.18   Max: 38.04
Current: -2.34

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Noble Development PCL was 38.04. The lowest was -3.75. And the median was -1.18.


Noble Development PCL Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Noble Development PCL's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Noble Development PCL Beneish M-Score Chart

Noble Development PCL Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.75 4.83 -0.46 -1.89 -2.34

Noble Development PCL Quarterly Data
Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.89 -2.12 -2.17 -2.24 -2.34

Competitive Comparison of Noble Development PCL's Beneish M-Score

For the Real Estate - Development subindustry, Noble Development PCL's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Noble Development PCL's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Noble Development PCL's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Noble Development PCL's Beneish M-Score falls into.


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Noble Development PCL Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Noble Development PCL for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0309+0.528 * 1.2365+0.404 * 1.2552+0.892 * 1.2144+0.115 * 1.3697
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8813+4.679 * -0.078122-0.327 * 1.0196
=-2.34

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec24) TTM:Last Year (Dec23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ฿4,874 Mil.
Revenue was 4001.078 + 2883.988 + 2538.055 + 1571.711 = ฿10,995 Mil.
Gross Profit was 910.594 + 432.129 + 540.581 + 360.831 = ฿2,244 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ฿23,479 Mil.
Total Assets was ฿27,255 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ฿1,222 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ฿130 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ฿1,682 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ฿9,701 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ฿11,114 Mil.
Net Income was 231.798 + -3.268 + 124.344 + 78.678 = ฿432 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -38.289 + 128.162 + 107.609 + 199.057 = ฿397 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 704.748 + 1098.338 + 400.281 + -39.146 = ฿2,164 Mil.
Total Receivables was ฿3,893 Mil.
Revenue was 2497.253 + 2388.314 + 2213.429 + 1954.957 = ฿9,054 Mil.
Gross Profit was 647.269 + 636.244 + 547.319 + 454.156 = ฿2,285 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ฿23,221 Mil.
Total Assets was ฿26,269 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ฿1,087 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ฿164 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ฿1,571 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ฿6,910 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ฿12,766 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(4873.518 / 10994.832) / (3893.033 / 9053.953)
=0.443255 / 0.429982
=1.0309

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2284.988 / 9053.953) / (2244.135 / 10994.832)
=0.252375 / 0.204108
=1.2365

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (23479.206 + 1222.322) / 27254.869) / (1 - (23221.085 + 1087.329) / 26269.093)
=0.093684 / 0.074638
=1.2552

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=10994.832 / 9053.953
=1.2144

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(164.421 / (164.421 + 1087.329)) / (129.649 / (129.649 + 1222.322))
=0.131353 / 0.095896
=1.3697

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1681.68 / 10994.832) / (1571.325 / 9053.953)
=0.152952 / 0.173551
=0.8813

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((11113.532 + 9700.796) / 27254.869) / ((12766.016 + 6909.565) / 26269.093)
=0.763692 / 0.749001
=1.0196

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(431.552 - 396.539 - 2164.221) / 27254.869
=-0.078122

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Noble Development PCL has a M-score of -2.34 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Noble Development PCL Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Noble Development PCL Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1035 Ploenchit Road, NOBLE Building, Lumpini, Pathumwan, Bangkok, THA, 10330
Noble Development PCL is a Thailand-based real estate company. Along with its subsidiaries, the firm is engaged in the development of real estate for sale. Its segments are Condominiums, House and land, Rental and service business, and Others.

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