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Hilton Metal Forging (BOM:532847) Beneish M-Score : 13.16 (As of Jun. 05, 2024)


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What is Hilton Metal Forging Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score 13.16 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Hilton Metal Forging's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BOM:532847' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -5.12   Med: -2.39   Max: 13.16
Current: 13.16

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Hilton Metal Forging was 13.16. The lowest was -5.12. And the median was -2.39.


Hilton Metal Forging Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Hilton Metal Forging's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Hilton Metal Forging Beneish M-Score Chart

Hilton Metal Forging Annual Data
Trend Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.18 -5.12 -4.06 13.16 -

Hilton Metal Forging Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 13.16 - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Hilton Metal Forging's Beneish M-Score

For the Metal Fabrication subindustry, Hilton Metal Forging's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Hilton Metal Forging's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Hilton Metal Forging's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Hilton Metal Forging's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Hilton Metal Forging Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Hilton Metal Forging for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.6818+0.528 * 1.2462+0.404 * 0.8959+0.892 * 1.3171+0.115 * 1.1843
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0+4.679 * -0.018573-0.327 * 0.9631
=-2.28

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₹272 Mil.
Revenue was ₹1,381 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₹270 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₹1,316 Mil.
Total Assets was ₹1,846 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₹469 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₹22 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₹0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₹692 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₹140 Mil.
Net Income was ₹67 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₹0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was ₹101 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₹302 Mil.
Revenue was ₹1,048 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₹256 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₹1,207 Mil.
Total Assets was ₹1,692 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₹422 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₹24 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₹21 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₹641 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₹152 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(271.505 / 1380.711) / (302.345 / 1048.295)
=0.196641 / 0.288416
=0.6818

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(255.852 / 1048.295) / (270.4 / 1380.711)
=0.244065 / 0.195841
=1.2462

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1315.748 + 468.559) / 1845.661) / (1 - (1207.326 + 422.169) / 1692.286)
=0.033242 / 0.037104
=0.8959

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1380.711 / 1048.295
=1.3171

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(23.636 / (23.636 + 422.169)) / (21.96 / (21.96 + 468.559))
=0.053019 / 0.044769
=1.1843

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 1380.711) / (21.397 / 1048.295)
=0 / 0.020411
=0

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((140.34 + 692.137) / 1845.661) / ((151.709 + 640.817) / 1692.286)
=0.451045 / 0.468317
=0.9631

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(66.858 - 0 - 101.138) / 1845.661
=-0.018573

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Hilton Metal Forging has a M-score of -2.28 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Hilton Metal Forging Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Hilton Metal Forging (BOM:532847) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Akurli Road, Near - Growel 101 Mall, 204, Tanishka Commercial Building, Kandivali - East, Mumbai, MH, IND, 400101
Hilton Metal Forging Ltd is engaged in the business of manufacturing iron and steel forging. The company serves Oil and gas industry, Petrochemicals, and refineries industry. The company's products portfolio includes Flanges and forged fittings, Engineered parts, Stainless steel flanges, High-pressure flanges, Crankshaft, Body bonnets, Hydraulic fittings, Forged components, Christmas tree components, Topdeck cover, Stub ends, Threaded flanges, Blind flanges, Weld neck flanges, and socket welded flanges.

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