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Polycab India (BOM:542652) Beneish M-Score : -1.64 (As of Dec. 16, 2024)


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What is Polycab India Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.64 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Polycab India's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BOM:542652' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.32   Med: -1.98   Max: -0.97
Current: -1.64

During the past 9 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Polycab India was -0.97. The lowest was -3.32. And the median was -1.98.


Polycab India Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Polycab India's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Polycab India Beneish M-Score Chart

Polycab India Annual Data
Trend Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only -1.98 -2.65 -2.19 -2.87 -1.08

Polycab India Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.63 -1.43 -1.08 -1.25 -1.64

Competitive Comparison of Polycab India's Beneish M-Score

For the Electrical Equipment & Parts subindustry, Polycab India's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Polycab India's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Polycab India's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Polycab India's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Polycab India Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Polycab India for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.4234+0.528 * 1.0737+0.404 * 1.3328+0.892 * 1.2391+0.115 * 1.1063
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.892+4.679 * 0.033969-0.327 * 1.3708
=-1.64

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep24) TTM:Last Year (Sep23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₹23,497 Mil.
Revenue was 54984.23 + 45999.07 + 53128.65 + 43404.7 = ₹197,517 Mil.
Gross Profit was 12959.55 + 10308.62 + 10187.36 + 11712.84 = ₹45,168 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₹97,630 Mil.
Total Assets was ₹137,111 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₹32,667 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₹2,668 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₹6,837 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₹46,848 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₹987 Mil.
Net Income was 4398.11 + 3959.54 + 5460.04 + 4128.5 = ₹17,946 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ₹0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 15463.74 + -2175.09 + 0 + 0 = ₹13,289 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₹13,322 Mil.
Revenue was 42176.97 + 38496.96 + 41577.93 + 37151.82 = ₹159,404 Mil.
Gross Profit was 11438.32 + 9658.8 + 8495.47 + 9548.41 = ₹39,141 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₹70,801 Mil.
Total Assets was ₹99,000 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₹24,507 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₹2,234 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₹6,186 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₹24,801 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₹394 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(23496.5 / 197516.65) / (13321.8 / 159403.68)
=0.11896 / 0.083573
=1.4234

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(39141 / 159403.68) / (45168.37 / 197516.65)
=0.245546 / 0.228681
=1.0737

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (97629.71 + 32666.74) / 137111.39) / (1 - (70800.81 + 24506.77) / 98999.66)
=0.049704 / 0.037294
=1.3328

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=197516.65 / 159403.68
=1.2391

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2233.52 / (2233.52 + 24506.77)) / (2667.83 / (2667.83 + 32666.74))
=0.083526 / 0.075502
=1.1063

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(6837.47 / 197516.65) / (6186.18 / 159403.68)
=0.034617 / 0.038808
=0.892

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((986.51 + 46847.85) / 137111.39) / ((394.4 + 24801.35) / 98999.66)
=0.348872 / 0.254503
=1.3708

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(17946.19 - 0 - 13288.65) / 137111.39
=0.033969

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Polycab India has a M-score of -1.64 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Polycab India Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Polycab India Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
No. 29, Senapati Bapat Marg, Tulsi Pipe Road, The Ruby, 21st Floor, Dadar (West), Mumbai, MH, IND, 400028
Polycab India Ltd is engaged in the business of manufacturing and selling wires and cables and fast moving electrical goods under the POLYCAB brand. The business activities are carried out through Wires and cables, Fast moving electrical goods (FMEG), and Others segment. It generates maximum revenue from the Wires and cables segment. Geographically, it derives a majority of revenue from India. Some of its products include Power cables, Control Cables, Instrumentation Cables, Optical Fibre Cables (OFC), Solar Cables, Building Cables, Flexible Wires, and others.

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