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Philip Morris International (BSP:PHMO34) Beneish M-Score : -2.87 (As of Mar. 24, 2025)


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What is Philip Morris International Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.87 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Philip Morris International's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BSP:PHMO34' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.94   Med: -2.73   Max: -2.22
Current: -2.87

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Philip Morris International was -2.22. The lowest was -2.94. And the median was -2.73.


Philip Morris International Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Philip Morris International's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Philip Morris International Beneish M-Score Chart

Philip Morris International Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.63 -2.72 -2.22 -2.62 -2.87

Philip Morris International Quarterly Data
Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.62 -2.56 -2.69 -2.56 -2.87

Competitive Comparison of Philip Morris International's Beneish M-Score

For the Tobacco subindustry, Philip Morris International's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Philip Morris International's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Tobacco Products Industry

For the Tobacco Products industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Philip Morris International's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Philip Morris International's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Philip Morris International Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Philip Morris International for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1091+0.528 * 0.9768+0.404 * 0.9533+0.892 * 1.1952+0.115 * 0.874
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0314+4.679 * -0.083701-0.327 * 1.0172
=-2.65

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec24) TTM:Last Year (Dec23) TTM:
Total Receivables was R$28,522 Mil.
Revenue was 59216.306 + 54885.136 + 50995.595 + 43787.381 = R$208,884 Mil.
Gross Profit was 38332.583 + 36244.901 + 32979.09 + 27876.92 = R$135,433 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$123,057 Mil.
Total Assets was R$376,944 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$44,598 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$9,892 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$61,602 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$139,804 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$257,255 Mil.
Net Income was -3532.479 + 17067.5 + 12958.957 + 10696.61 = R$37,191 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -97.616 + -83.067 + -75.405 + -74.697 = R$-331 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 24416.202 + 18507.328 + 24948.415 + 1200.132 = R$69,072 Mil.
Total Receivables was R$21,515 Mil.
Revenue was 44328.491 + 45144.657 + 43523.128 + 41767.763 = R$174,764 Mil.
Gross Profit was 27365.383 + 29513.671 + 27855.384 + 25944.037 = R$110,678 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$96,796 Mil.
Total Assets was R$319,977 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$36,827 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$6,945 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$49,973 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$129,271 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$202,082 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(28522.175 / 208884.418) / (21515.022 / 174764.039)
=0.136545 / 0.123109
=1.1091

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(110678.475 / 174764.039) / (135433.494 / 208884.418)
=0.633302 / 0.648366
=0.9768

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (123057.17 + 44598.31) / 376944.184) / (1 - (96795.549 + 36826.897) / 319976.539)
=0.555225 / 0.582399
=0.9533

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=208884.418 / 174764.039
=1.1952

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(6945.063 / (6945.063 + 36826.897)) / (9892.403 / (9892.403 + 44598.31))
=0.158665 / 0.181543
=0.874

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(61601.995 / 208884.418) / (49972.543 / 174764.039)
=0.294909 / 0.285943
=1.0314

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((257254.766 + 139804.415) / 376944.184) / ((202082.451 + 129271.423) / 319976.539)
=1.053363 / 1.035557
=1.0172

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(37190.588 - -330.785 - 69072.077) / 376944.184
=-0.083701

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Philip Morris International has a M-score of -2.65 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Philip Morris International Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Philip Morris International Business Description

Address
677 Washington Boulevard, Suite 1100, Stamford, Connecticut, New York, NY, USA, 06901
Created from the international operations of Altria in 2008, Philip Morris International sells cigarettes and reduced-risk products, including heatsticks, vapes, and oral nicotine offerings primarily outside of the US. With the 2023 acquisition of Swedish Match, a leading manufacturer of traditional oral tobacco products and nicotine pouches primarily in the US and Scandinavia, PMI has not only diversified away from smokeable products but also gained a toehold into the US to sell its iQOS heated tobacco product.

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